January Trifecta
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Will Santa Come To Wall Street This Year?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-24 12:15
Group 1: Market Trends and Indicators - The S&P 500 has recorded its 38th record close of 2025, indicating a potential "Santa Claus Rally" as equities typically rise during the last five trading sessions of December and the first two trading days of January [6] - Historical data suggests that when the "Santa Claus Rally," "First Five Days," and "January Barometer" indicators all show positive returns, there is over a 90% chance the market will be up that year, with an average gain of 17.7% for the S&P 500 [8] Group 2: Commodity Performance - Gold has reached an all-time record above $4,500, marking its best annual rally since 1979, while silver has surged to historic highs above $70 an ounce, driven by falling interest rates, aggressive central bank buying, and geopolitical tensions [9] - Copper has also breached $12,000 for the first time, indicating strong performance in industrial metals [9] Group 3: Corporate Developments - Waymo, the self-driving car startup owned by Alphabet, is planning to update its software following a power outage in San Francisco [5] - BP is selling a 65% stake in Castrol to Stonepeak as part of its divestment strategy, with the deal valuing Castrol at approximately $10 billion [5]