Labor Market Cooling
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Retail Sales Stall as Paycheck-to-Paycheck Pressure Builds
PYMNTS.com· 2025-12-16 16:40
Slowing job growth and cooling wages suggest holiday spending resilience may be tested into early 2026.Two-thirds of U.S. consumers still live paycheck to paycheck, increasingly out of necessity rather than choice.Retail sales were flat in October as paycheck-to-paycheck households pulled back on discretionary categories.After weeks of delay, a fresh wave of government data is finally offering a clearer snapshot of how consumers and workers in the United States have weathered months of tariff uncertainty, h ...
Cooling Labor Market and Elevated Inflation Stoke Fed Divisions
Nytimes· 2025-12-12 15:28
Fed officials explained their opposition to the central bank's decision this week to cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point. ...
Fed Chair Powell: Labor market has cooled 'a touch more gradually' than we thought
Youtube· 2025-12-10 20:26
A lot of people interpreted your comments at the October meeting that you know when there's a foggy [clears throat] situation we slow down to mean that you know there wouldn't be a cut now there'd be a cut in January instead. So it'd be good to get a sense of why did the committee decide to move today rather than to move in January instead. Thank you.>> Right. So in October I said um that there was no certainty of moving and that was uh that was indeed correct. I said it's possible you could think about it ...
America’s labor market is cooling, and workers are quietly turning to Uber and DoorDash to fill the income gap
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 10:00
Core Insights - The labor market in America is cooling, with the gig economy absorbing some of the employment strain as traditional payroll growth slows [1][2] - Approximately 20% of individuals who experienced job loss or reduced hours turned to gig platforms for income support [2] - The gig economy is becoming a backstop for workers, with 15% of those classified as unemployed or "not in the labor force" actually engaged in gig work [6] Labor Market Trends - Over 153,000 job cuts were announced in October, marking the worst reading for that month since 2003 [3] - Private employers reported an average loss of 11,250 jobs per week for the four weeks ending October 25, a decline from earlier reports indicating job gains [4] - Companies have announced over 1.1 million layoffs in 2024, a 44% increase compared to the previous year, with significant reductions in tech and retail sectors [5] Gig Economy Dynamics - Gig hours have increased in cities where traditional payroll growth has slowed, indicating that workers are taking on extra shifts to compensate for lost income [2] - Gig workers earn only 50%-65% of what they made in traditional jobs, despite some marginal wage increases due to a decline in immigration [8] - Many gig workers face lower pay, instability, and lack of benefits, leading to a feeling of financial squeeze among Americans [7]