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Brookfield Residential CEO Adrian Foley: A CHIPS Act equivalent for housing is 'brilliant move'
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-09-11 15:44
Interest Rate Impact - The market has priced in a 100% chance of a rate cut next week, which is a major topic at the housing summit [1][2] - Lower interest rates are expected to reduce the cost for builders by potentially lowering the need to buy down rates [3] - Lower mortgage rates would increase confidence in home sales, encouraging land developers to supply more lots to home builders [5] Land Market Dynamics - In Q2, Brookfield generated $500 million in land revenue, but lot sales and prices experienced declines across both residential and commercial sectors [6] - A report indicated that land demand decreased by 23% in the past quarter, mirroring trends observed in 2022 when mortgage rates decreased [6] - Brookfield operates as a land banker, lot serer, and community developer, with the majority of its portfolio focused on long-term master-planned communities [7][8] - New land banks may see lower values, but existing contractual agreements remain largely unchanged, with builders continuing to take down lots as contracted [9] Housing Market Outlook - Starts are projected to be somewhat flat next year, but builder demand for the second half of the year is expected to moderate slightly [10] - Community side of the business remains strong, with builders still requiring lots in community developments [10] - There is support for a "chips act equivalent" for housing, focusing on opening up more federal land for housing development [11] - There is potential to partner with the building industry to develop federal land in high-demand housing locations [12]