Core Insights - Ethereum (ETH) has been trading sideways around the $3,000 level for the past two weeks, with insufficient demand despite recent purchases from firms like BitMine and Trend Research, indicating a lack of short-term recovery potential [1] Group 1: Exchange Reserves - ETH exchange reserves increased from 16.2 million to 16.6 million, representing a transfer of approximately 400,000 ETH onto exchanges during Christmas week [2] - A significant deposit of 100,000 ETH was made by one "OG whale" into Binance, while BitMine and Trend Research purchased 67,886 ETH and 46,379 ETH respectively, but these purchases are smaller than the total ETH moved onto exchanges [3] Group 2: Selling Pressure - If ETH is transferred to exchanges for liquidation and exceeds buying absorption, selling pressure could intensify, potentially leading to further downside pressure on ETH prices as the year ends [4] Group 3: Leverage Ratio - Ethereum's Estimated Leverage Ratio remains elevated, reflecting higher leverage used by traders, with current readings reaching as high as 0.76, indicating vulnerability to small price moves that could trigger cascade liquidations [5][6] Group 4: Coinbase Premium - Ethereum's Coinbase Premium has turned deeper negative in December, currently at -0.08, the lowest level in the past month, suggesting US investors are selling at discounted prices [7] - The negative Coinbase Premium indicates that ETH prices on Coinbase Pro are lower compared to Binance, which may hinder short-term recovery until the premium turns positive again [8]

But now to shift gears into the world of crypto which has been highly scrutinized, highly watched as well as just highly volatile as of late. So joining us now is Dan Novades, co-founder and CEO of Mode Mobile. And so you did mention something I wanted to start off with, and that's the the IPO moment we're seeing in in Bitcoin.So million-dollar question. How long do you expect this post IPO volatility to last. >> Yeah, I mean, it's hard to say.I think you know uh I think the right way to look at this is uh ...

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Trading Strategy - Industry advises against leverage trading due to market manipulation risks [1] - Industry suggests holding spot positions to avoid liquidation [1] - Industry anticipates a significant price increase (parabolic pump) in Q4 [1] Market Sentiment - Market sentiment is currently negative [1] - Industry recommends waiting for sentiment to improve before making significant moves [1]

Market Analysis & Trends - Crypto market is experiencing a downturn, with most altcoins down over 20% in the past month [1] - Retail investors' interest shifts from crypto to stocks and gold due to lack of excitement in the crypto market [1] - The market anticipates a return of funds to crypto when it becomes more appealing [1] - The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 28, the lowest since April, indicating potential extreme fear levels [2] - Negative sentiment and FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) are prevalent, overshadowing positive crypto announcements [10] Technical Analysis & Key Levels - Bitcoin is trading around $109,000, Ethereum around $3,900, and XRP around $2.36 [1] - S&P 500 faced resistance, leading to a pullback to around 6,594, impacting Bitcoin [1] - Bitcoin's critical support level is around $108,000, and losing this could lead to a retest of $104,000-$106,600 [1] - Breaking above $105,400 is needed for Bitcoin to turn bullish again [1] Risk Management & Investor Behavior - $600 million in liquidations occurred in the crypto market, highlighting the risks of leverage trading [1] - The report advises against using leverage and recommends holding spot positions with conviction [1] - The market is experiencing a sell-off, with Bitcoin down approximately 14.82% recently, less than previous sell-offs [12] - The report suggests that the current bearish sentiment is overblown and that significant moves may be imminent [15]

Core Insights - Bitcoin's price is currently fluctuating below $120,000, leading analysts to predict a prolonged period of high volatility in the crypto market [2] - In this volatile environment, seasoned investors are increasingly turning to 100x leverage futures trading to maximize potential gains [2] - BexBack Exchange is enhancing its offerings with promotional packages, including a 100% deposit bonus and a $100 welcome bonus for new users [2][13] Company Overview - BexBack Exchange is a leading crypto derivatives platform based in Singapore, serving over 500,000 users globally [14] - The platform offers 100x leverage on major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP [14] - BexBack emphasizes user privacy by not requiring KYC (Know Your Customer) verification, allowing traders to start immediately [8][15] Trading Features - The 100x leverage allows traders to control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital, significantly amplifying potential returns [5][8] - For example, a 1% price movement in Bitcoin can lead to a 100% return on a leveraged position [8] - BexBack offers zero spread and no slippage, ensuring that trades occur at the exact market price without hidden fees [8][15] Promotional Offers - New users can receive a $100 welcome bonus upon depositing at least 1000 USDT or 0.01 BTC and completing their first trade [8][10] - The 100% deposit bonus allows users to double their trading capital, enhancing their ability to trade effectively [10][13] - BexBack is currently promoting these offers as a way to attract traders during a time of high market volatility [13]

USDE De-peg Event Analysis - The report analyzes the USDE de-peg event from a lending and leveraged trading perspective, focusing on the impact on different user groups [1] - The analysis suggests that Binance's ETH withdrawal restrictions inadvertently locked USDE's lifeline, preventing arbitrage bots from stabilizing the price [4] - Binance compensated users affected by the de-peg between 05:36 and 06:16 (UTC+8), acknowledging its responsibility during that period [5] Impact on User Groups - VIP loan users were largely unaffected, while "存贷易" (deposit & loan) users experienced minor losses (within 10%), and leveraged trading users suffered significant losses [1][2] - Leveraged trading users with 25x leverage or higher potentially lost their entire principal, with liquidation fees alone costing 8% of the principal for 5x leverage users [2] Potential Causes and Solutions - The report speculates that a large sell-off of BTC and ETH, possibly triggered by Trump's comments on tariffs, led to liquidations in leveraged trading products, causing a downward spiral for USDE [3] - The report suggests setting a minimum price for USDE's oracle parameters, potentially at 085, and implementing an on-site mint-redeem mechanism on Binance to mitigate future price drops [6] - Ethena can process 10 million USDE every 12 seconds (one Ethereum block) for redemptions, with the gas fees passed on to users, bypassing Binance's hot wallet limitations [7][8]

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