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SpaceX is poised to raise more money in its IPO than was raised in last year’s 90 IPOs combined
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-05 08:00
Core Insights - SpaceX is planning an IPO that could raise $50 billion, potentially making it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Nippon Telegraph & Telephone's $44 billion in 1987 when adjusted for inflation [1][4] - The anticipated market cap of SpaceX at debut is $1.5 trillion, making it the second-most-valuable IPO after Saudi Aramco [2] - Despite its high valuation, SpaceX has not generated net earnings after 23 years, raising concerns about its ability to justify such a market cap [3] Fundraising and Valuation - The IPO aims to raise $50 billion, which is more than the total raised through 90 IPOs last year, indicating a significant impact on Wall Street profits [6] - Analysts suggest that SpaceX's valuation could reach $1.75 trillion due to its growth opportunities, particularly with its Starlink satellite service [4] Underwriting and Fees - Investment banks are expected to earn substantial fees from the IPO, with estimates suggesting around $1 billion in underwriting fees based on a 2% charge for the $50 billion offering [7][11] - The lead underwriters could collect approximately 35% of the fees, amounting to around $350 million, with the remaining fees distributed among other syndicate members [8] Market Dynamics - Underpricing is common in IPOs, with shares typically jumping 19% on the first trading day, which could result in a one-day paper gain of $9.5 billion for institutional investors [10] - The structure of the IPO may favor large institutional investors, creating an artificial shortage that benefits investment banks [9] Strategic Options for SpaceX - SpaceX has options to retain more capital, such as pursuing a direct listing or using limit order book building, which could reduce underpricing and fees [14][15] - A direct listing would allow market forces to set the opening price, potentially leading to a higher valuation for the company [14] - The threat of alternative listing methods could incentivize underwriters to offer better terms [16]