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Lithium Americas Shares Surge 69% in 6 Months: Should You Invest Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-21 16:35
Core Insights - Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) has experienced a significant share price increase of 68.6% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Mining - Miscellaneous industry's growth of 7.7% [1][7] - The company is developing the Thacker Pass lithium mine, which is noted for having the world's largest known measured lithium resource and reserve [3] - The project is a joint venture with General Motors, where Lithium Americas holds a 62% stake and is the project manager [3] Performance Factors - The construction of the Thacker Pass project is progressing, with mechanical construction of Phase 1 expected to be completed by late 2027 [4] - As of September 30, 2025, engineering work was over 80% complete, with expectations to exceed 90% by year-end [4] - Approximately $430 million has been committed for key long-lead equipment and services necessary for the project [5][8] Challenges and Risks - The reliance on steel and other raw materials poses risks, as new tariffs or price increases could elevate construction costs and impact project viability [9] - The company has entered into an omnibus waiver, consent, and amendment (OWCA) to enable a $435 million DOE loan advance, but this introduces financial uncertainties and strict compliance requirements [10] - High construction costs and potential tariff impacts could hinder operational flexibility and pressure returns [16] Valuation and Market Position - LAC is trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.42, which is lower than peers BHP (2.72) and Sigma Lithium (3.35) [11] - The average brokerage recommendation for LAC is 2.54 on a scale of 1 to 5, indicating a moderate outlook [12] Conclusion - While Lithium Americas shows strong long-term prospects due to its resource base and project progress, significant production is still years away [16] - Elevated project-related uncertainties and construction costs suggest a balanced risk-reward profile, making it more suitable for current shareholders rather than new investors [17]