March 29, 2026 07:53 PM GMT Investor Presentation | Asia Pacific M Foundation False Dawn: Decoding China's Inflation Dynamics Chief China Economist Robin.Xing@morganstanley.com +852 2848-6511 Zhipeng Cai Economist Zhipeng.Cai@morganstanley.com +852 2239-7820 For important disclosures, refer to the Disclosure Section, located at the end of this report. Downloaded by Neil.Wang@troweprice.com Not for redistribution without written consent of Morgan Stanley False Dawn: Decoding China's Inflation Dynamics (24 Ma ...

Core Insights - The long-term care insurance (LTCI) system, referred to as the "sixth insurance" in social security, has been implemented for nearly a decade, covering approximately 300 million people and benefiting over 3.3 million disabled individuals, with an average annual reduction in financial burden of 12,000 yuan per person [1][2] - The LTCI aims to address the societal issue of "one person disabled, the whole family unbalanced" by expanding family care responsibilities into a socialized mutual assistance framework, thus providing a safety net for disabled families [2][4] - The program has seen significant growth, with the number of designated service institutions increasing to 12,000, ten times that of the initial phase, and a focus on integrating care services across various settings [5][4] Group 1: Service Implementation and Demand - The LTCI has introduced services such as "home bathing," which has become a highly anticipated monthly event for families, exemplified by the case of a disabled elderly man in Ningbo [1] - Data from the National Health Commission indicates that over 45 million elderly individuals in China require long-term care, highlighting the increasing demand for such services as the population ages [2] - The most pressing needs identified among the disabled population include basic life care services, particularly bathing, facial cleaning, and oral hygiene [2][3] Group 2: Policy Development and Future Directions - The LTCI system has been progressively expanded since its pilot launch in 2016, with ongoing efforts to enhance service quality and coverage, as reflected in government work reports from 2021 to 2025 [4][5] - The initiative is seen as a strategic measure to address population aging, with plans to transition from pilot programs to a fully established system that ensures universal coverage [5][6] - The integration of technology in care services is being emphasized, with developments such as real-time monitoring devices for disabled individuals being implemented in various institutions [7][8] Group 3: Professionalization and Market Impact - The LTCI has led to the professionalization of caregiving roles, with long-term care workers now recognized as a distinct profession, enhancing their job satisfaction and societal value [6][7] - The introduction of community-based care models has gained popularity, allowing elderly individuals to receive care close to home, thereby improving their quality of life [7] - The LTCI has stimulated significant market demand for caregiving services, with institutions reporting increased occupancy rates and a growing need for care facilities [7][8]