Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is maintaining a cautious stance regarding interest rate cuts due to concerns over inflationary pressures from tariffs imposed by President Trump, leading to uncertainty in the market [1][5][6]. Federal Reserve Meeting Insights - The minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting indicate that most officials are not in a hurry to implement an immediate rate cut, suggesting a wait-and-see approach [2][5]. - A delay in rate cuts could lead to increased volatility in the stock market [2][7]. - Most participants believe that any inflationary impact from tariffs will be temporary or modest, and there is no urgency for rate cuts in the near term [6]. Investment Recommendations - Given the current uncertainty, it is advisable to invest in defensive stocks from the utility and consumer staples sectors, which are considered safe havens [3][11]. - Recommended stocks include: - **Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 6%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.70, and a dividend yield of 2.27% [9]. - **Fortis, Inc. (FTS)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 3.8%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.48, and a dividend yield of 3.81% [13]. - **Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 1.7%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.37, and a dividend yield of 2.27% [15]. - **The Coca-Cola Company (KO)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 3.1%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.45, and a dividend yield of 2.94% [17]. Stock Characteristics - The recommended stocks are characterized by low beta (greater than 0 but less than 1), high dividend yields, and favorable Zacks Ranks, making them attractive in the current market environment [4][11].

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is expected to experience volatility due to rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which have led to increased oil prices and concerns about a broader regional conflict [1] - Uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions amid these geopolitical risks is adding further pressure to the market [1] Investment Strategy - A curated portfolio of low-beta stocks is recommended as a strategy to navigate the uncertain market conditions [2] - Low-beta stocks such as VirTra Inc. (VTSI), Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV), Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT), and Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [2] Stock Characteristics - Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility compared to the market, with a beta of 1 indicating movement in line with the market, greater than 1 indicating higher volatility, and less than 1 indicating lower volatility [3][4] - Stocks with a beta between 0 and 0.6 are screened for lower volatility, alongside other criteria such as positive price movement over the last month, average trading volume greater than 50,000, a price of at least $5, and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5][6] Company Insights - **VirTra Inc. (VTSI)**: The company is benefiting from the U.S. Army's Integrated Visual Augmentation System (IVAS) project, which enhances training for soldiers and positions VirTra favorably for military contracts [7][9] - **Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)**: Recently invested $1.05 billion in a royalty on the Côté Gold Mine, which is expected to close by Q2 2025, indicating strong revenue potential from significant gold resources [9][10] - **Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT)**: The company has a substantial backlog of $23.1 billion, with 66% of its contracts coming from international markets, reflecting strong global demand for defense solutions [9][11] - **Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)**: Transitioning from traditional cigarettes to smoke-free products like IQOS and ZYN, while focusing on shareholder returns and cost-cutting measures [12]

Group 1: Market Overview - Stocks experienced volatility as the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in the range of 4.25-4.5% during its May FOMC meeting, amid high inflation and economic uncertainty due to tariffs [1][4] - The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, contrary to expectations of a 0.4% growth, raising recession fears [7] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Defensive stocks, particularly in the utilities sector, are recommended for investment, including The AES Corporation, DTE Energy Company, Atmos Energy Corporation, and American Water Works Company, all carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [2][3] - These stocks are characterized as low-beta (beta < 1) with high dividend yields, making them attractive during market volatility [3] Group 3: Company Profiles - **The AES Corporation**: A global power company with operations in 14 countries, expected earnings growth rate of 1.4%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.94, and a dividend yield of 6.74% [8][9] - **DTE Energy Company**: A diversified energy company with an expected earnings growth rate of 6%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.47, and a dividend yield of 3.17% [10] - **Atmos Energy Corporation**: Engaged in regulated natural gas distribution, with an expected earnings growth rate of 5.3%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.74, and a dividend yield of 2.15% [11][12] - **American Water Works Company**: Provides water services to over 14 million customers, with an expected earnings growth rate of 6.1%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.73, and a dividend yield of 2.08% [13][14]

Economic Overview - Concerns about a slowing economy have intensified, with the Federal Reserve unlikely to implement rate cuts soon due to persistent inflation [1][8] - Consumer confidence has dropped significantly, with the Conference Board's consumer survey index falling to 98.3 in February, below the expected 102.3 [7] Inflation Data - The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.5% in January, following a 0.4% increase in December, marking the largest jump since August 2023 [5] - Year-over-year, CPI increased by 3% in January, up from 2.9% in December, the highest annual gain since April 2024 [6] Consumer Staples Investment - Investing in consumer staples stocks is recommended as they are considered defensive during economic uncertainty [2] - Suggested stocks include Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV), Lancaster Colony Corporation (LANC), Tyson Foods (TSN), and Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP), all carrying a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) [2] Company Profiles - **Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 7.2% for the current year, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.91, and a dividend yield of 1.12% [12][13] - **Lancaster Colony Corporation (LANC)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 6.1% for the current year, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.31, and a dividend yield of 1.99% [14][15] - **Tyson Foods (TSN)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 22.6% for the current year, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.72, and a dividend yield of 3.26% [16][17] - **Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 6.5% for the current year, Zacks Rank 1, beta of 0.81, and a dividend yield of 3.07% [18][19] Investment Strategy - The recommended investment strategy focuses on low-beta stocks with high dividend yields and favorable Zacks Ranks [3]