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Federated Hermes' Stephen Denichilo talks small caps joining the record market run
Youtubeยท 2025-10-08 21:36
Core Insights - The Russell 2000 has outperformed the S&P 500, rising 41% in the last six months compared to the S&P's 35% increase, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics for small caps [2][3] - Small caps have historically underperformed large caps over the past decade, but current valuations are at their lowest, presenting a potential buying opportunity [3][4] - Earnings growth is identified as the primary driver for small cap stock performance, with expectations for positive earnings growth following a period of earnings recession [4][5] Small Cap Market Dynamics - The small cap sector has experienced a long period of underperformance relative to large caps, but recent trends suggest a turnaround since "Liberation Day" [2][3] - There has been a notable increase in IPO activity, with September marking one of the largest IPO markets on record, reflecting renewed investor interest in small caps [5][6] - The Federated Kaufman Small Cap Fund has seen nine takeouts this year, indicating robust activity and interest in small cap investments [5][6] Economic Outlook - The market outlook is bullish, with projections suggesting the market could reach approximately 8,700 by 2027, supported by anticipated interest rate cuts from the Fed [7] - The current economic environment is characterized as a "low inflation Goldilocks growth environment," which is favorable for small caps and longer-duration assets [7][8] - The demand for electricity is expected to grow significantly due to the rise of data centers and technology, positioning companies like Centuri (CTRI) favorably in the market [8][9]