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Lower Rates, Higher Gain: 3 Consumer Loan Stocks to Consider for 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 15:51
Core Insights - The Zacks Consumer Loans industry is experiencing a positive outlook due to falling interest rates and easing lending standards, with the Federal Reserve implementing its third consecutive interest rate cut in December, bringing rates to a range of 3.5-3.75% [1][6]. Industry Overview - Lower interest rates are expected to support net interest income (NII) expansion, which is crucial for banks' earnings. Although lower benchmark rates may compress yields on loans and securities, easing funding pressures help maintain margins. This environment is likely to reduce delinquency rates and charge-offs, encouraging increased borrowing from consumers and businesses, ultimately enhancing banks' profitability [2][8]. Performance Metrics - The consumer loan industry has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 Index and the Finance sector over the past year, with a collective return of 54.5%, compared to 14.6% for the S&P 500 and 14.9% for the Finance sector [3]. Future Outlook - The Federal Reserve anticipates one additional rate cut in 2026, but improving consumer sentiment and rising loan demand driven by lower rates are expected to continue supporting consumer lenders [6]. Company Highlights Enova International (ENVA) - Enova is diversifying its product offerings and has announced the acquisition of Grasshopper Bancorp for approximately $369 million, expected to be accretive to adjusted earnings by over 15% in the first year post-acquisition [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Enova's earnings in 2026 is $14.12, reflecting a 10.6% increase from the previous year [15]. Ally Financial (ALLY) - Ally Financial is restructuring its operations, including divesting its credit card business and ceasing new mortgage loan originations, to focus on core businesses. This is expected to drive net financing revenues [20]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Ally's earnings in 2026 is $5.32, indicating a 42.1% increase from the year-ago figure [21]. OneMain Holdings (OMF) - OneMain provides unsecured and secured personal installment loans and has shown strong revenue growth. The company has expanded into auto lending through its acquisition of Foursight Capital LLC [24]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OneMain's earnings in 2026 is $8.02, representing a 19.9% increase from the previous year [25].