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Why 2026 may bring modest gains and more volatility, David Katz, Matrix
Youtube· 2025-12-30 12:14
So David, first and foremost, are you a believer in the Santa Claus rally. And I want to go back to the action we saw yesterday. Uh major indices lower.A lot of people thought it was profit taking specifically when it comes to tech. All right, that was yesterday. If you look throughout the month, you're seeing the eco weight outperforming the market cap weighted.That's kind of a sign of broadening. Can we get a Santa Claus rally. Can we get a strong start to the year if people are broadening out.>> Well, we ...
There could be some runway for small caps, says BTIG's Krinsky
Youtube· 2025-12-11 20:45
Jonathan Kinsky, BTIG, has a new note on the small caps today. So, we wanted to bring him in to talk to you about it. It's nice to have you, especially given this move we've seen in the last few days at least.Um, we getting confirmation of a of a bigger breakout. >> Hey, Scott. So, I mean, yeah, there's a couple of points here.one um you know we had this the Russell 2000 breakout in September two new all-time highs but the S&P 600 which is a small cap index that has a profitability component um really conti ...
Lowering rates now could spur inflation, says Richard Bernstein CEO Richard Bernstein
Youtube· 2025-12-08 19:09
Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve cuts rates to lower funding costs for the banking system, aiming to stimulate lending and economic growth [2] - There is a concern about the current state of the financial sector and its impact on lending and growth, with no clear hiccup identified [3] - The K-shaped economy is highlighted, where high rates make borrowing expensive for broader consumers, while the strong stock market benefits a select few [4] Lending and Financing - Lowering rates may not encourage lending to riskier entities, as lenders may keep rates the same despite lower funding costs [5] - The fiscal side of the economy is more critical than the monetary side, especially in light of the deficit [6] - There are concerns about the ability of businesses relying on corporate bond markets to secure financing for mergers [7] Inflation and Capital Allocation - Lowering rates without addressing financial sector issues could lead to inflation and misallocation of capital [8] - The K-shaped economy suggests that investment may not be directed where it is most needed, indicating that fiscal policy rather than monetary policy should address these issues [9] Market Perspectives - There is a debate about market outlooks, with some analysts projecting bullish price targets for the next year, while others suggest a focus on more stable, less speculative investments [10] - The theme of "boring is beautiful" is proposed, emphasizing the value of dividends and stable investments over speculative stocks [11] - Non-US quality stocks are identified as undervalued, with growth rates surpassing those of major US stocks [13]
Markets are probably in a bubble and that's okay, says Vista Equity's Ashley MacNeill
Youtube· 2025-10-07 19:52
Joining me now to discuss Ashley McNeel, Vista Equity Partners, head of equity capital markets. Welcome back. >> Thank you.>> It's such a good time to have you because there are so many different opinions about this whole AI bubble or not. Um you say that you remain quote responsibly bullish on the market. So what does that mean.Respon like friends don't let friends buy AI stocks at these levels. Like what is that. >> Yeah.No, it means being measured about your approach recognizing that yeah, we're probably ...
All-time record options activity came following September Fed meeting, says CBOE's Mandy Xu
Youtube· 2025-09-22 18:13
Core Viewpoint - The options market is experiencing increased bullish activity, particularly following the recent Federal Reserve meeting, with a notable rise in single stock options trading, especially in AI-related stocks and small caps [2][4]. Options Market Activity - A record 54 million single stock options contracts were traded, predominantly from the call side, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [2]. - The percentage of large-cap names trading with inverted call skew rose from 3% to 12% in just one week, suggesting heightened demand for upside calls [4]. - There is a decline in hedging demand, as evidenced by the cost of puts, indicating that investors are more focused on seeking upside potential rather than protecting positions [6]. Sector Rotation and Market Sentiment - A significant sector rotation was observed, moving away from defensive sectors towards cyclical sectors, reflecting a risk-on sentiment in the market [7]. - The options market indicates bullishness in equities, while the bond market is pricing in higher inflation, suggesting a complex market environment [7]. Economic Outlook - There is skepticism about whether the markets are signaling a growth environment, as both the bond and stock markets may be misinterpreting the Federal Reserve's focus, potentially leading to vulnerabilities in the weeks ahead [8]. - The underlying economic conditions, including inflation and labor market data, are critical factors to monitor, as they could impact market stability [8].
Final Trades: Rocket Companies, Delta Air Lines, Teck Resources and Tesla
CNBC Television· 2025-09-11 18:08
Let's do some final trades here on a pretty big day for stocks. Josh Brown, I mentioned rocket on Tuesday as my final trade. The stock has officially broken out.New 52- week high. Staying long. It looks great.Jimmy did this just just to put his thumb in my eye. That has nothing to do with you. The stock market's getting it wrong on Delta Airlines.Sirat agrees with me. You know, there's always a I feel like there's mot extra motivation to this. Do you What do you think, Sat.Listen, I think it's the best run ...