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High-Yield Carnage In 2026
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-03 12:44
Core Insights - The mortgage REIT sector experienced significant declines, primarily driven by the poor performance of PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI), which saw a 33% drop in stock price, impacting the entire sector [19][21][27] - The declines were exacerbated by hotter-than-expected CPI/PPI data and the reporting of compressed gain-on-sale/loan margins and larger mortgage servicing rights (MSR) amortization by PMT and PFSI [20][27] - The valuation of PFSI was deemed excessively high prior to earnings, trading at an 80% premium to its current book value, which raised concerns about its sustainability [23][26] Mortgage REITs and BDCs Performance - A table of mortgage REITs and BDCs showed substantial declines in share prices, with notable drops including Two Harbors (TWO) down 13.69% and PennyMac (PMT) down 12.44% [16][17] - The overall sentiment in the mortgage REIT sector was negative, with many companies experiencing declines regardless of their individual fundamentals [20][27] Preferred Shares and Baby Bonds - The company has been shifting its portfolio towards preferred shares and baby bonds, which have historically provided strong performance on a risk-adjusted basis and have outperformed other sectors [28]