RT Cointelegraph Accelerator (@CointelegraphAc)🔥 INSIGHT: Global macro conditions are clearly shaping venture investing.A survey by Cointelegraph Research shows that 75% of VC managers consider macro conditions when shaping their investment strategy. Only 25% described that influence as minor or negligible.Macro is no longer a background variable in venture. It is an active input into how funds think about deployment pace, risk calibration, follow-on planning, and portfolio management.That does not mean inv ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin price action has cooled after failing to break above $100,000, leading to a consolidation phase with signs of stabilization rather than aggressive selling [1] - On-chain and macro indicators suggest improving conditions, with investor positioning indicating a cautiously bullish setup for February [1] Market Indicators - The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio based on a 90-day simple moving average is crucial for a sustained Bitcoin rally, historically rising above the 5.0 threshold indicates strong upside phases [2] - Past mid-cycle recoveries show that if the ratio fails to hold above 5.0, rallies lose momentum quickly, while a renewed move above this level suggests new capital entering the market [3] Macro Conditions - The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged supports macro conditions, with Chair Jerome Powell indicating rates are within a "neutral range," suggesting a potential extended pause [4] - Market psychology, as indicated by Santiment data, shows cautious sentiment which often favors gradual upside continuation [5] ETF Flows - Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen persistent net outflows, with $3.48 billion exiting in November 2025 and $1.09 billion in December, but January 2026 showed a slowdown with outflows reduced to $278 million [6][7] - If ETF flows turn positive in February, it could reinforce market stability and improve the probability of upside [7] Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is trading within an ascending broadening wedge, recently rebounding from the lower boundary, currently priced near $88,321 [8] - Bulls need to clear $89,241 and reclaim the psychological $90,000 level to confirm strengthening momentum [8]

Gold casually added $4.77 trillion in just 45 days, nearly twice Bitcoin’s entire market cap.And you think the macro conditions aren’t there for Bitcoin to move higher? https://t.co/jN58spSfiH ...

Crypto Market Rally Drivers - Short squeezes, driven by traders betting against price increases, can push crypto prices higher unexpectedly, especially short-term [4] - Long liquidations, the reverse of short squeezes, occur when traders betting on price increases are forced to sell, driving prices down [5] - Monitoring short squeeze liquidations on platforms like Coin Glass can indicate if a rally is leverage-driven [6] - Genuine rallies break through resistance levels, while false rallies are rejected [8] - Whales may intentionally trigger short squeezes to create FOMO and liquidate short positions [10] Macro and Crypto Conditions - Bullish macro conditions are indicated by rising major stock indices like the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (Rut) [14][15] - Lower 10-year Treasury yields are bullish, while higher yields are bearish [17] - A falling US dollar (DXY) indicates increased global liquidity, which is generally positive for crypto, with a few months lag [18][19] - Bitcoin (BTC) uptrends are a simple proxy for bullish crypto conditions [22] - Ethereum (ETH) uptrends, especially relative to BTC (ETH/BTC chart), indicate increasing risk appetite among crypto investors and potential capital rotation into altcoins [23][24][25] Rally Sustainability and Rotation - The more spot crypto ETFs get approved, the easier it is for macro liquidity to find its way into the crypto market [30] - Overextended long leverage makes the market vulnerable to dips and whale-triggered liquidations [28] - Bearish macro or crypto catalysts can trigger long liquidations and end rallies [29] - Capital rotation between Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins is often leverage-driven, restricting supply and amplifying price movements [41][42][43][44] - Liquidity can move freely between different crypto niches resulting in a sort of rolling rotation rather than a sequential rotation [46][47][48]