Group 1 - The core viewpoint on mREITs for short-term investors is a Hold due to sensitivity to yield curve dynamics and margin compression amid an uncertain macroeconomic environment [1] - Current challenges include an inverted or flattening yield curve, limited visibility from the Federal Reserve, and risks associated with mortgage-backed securities (MBS) valuations [1] - The analyst emphasizes a long-term perspective on value creation, focusing on macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and financial statement analysis to provide actionable investment ideas [1]

Core Viewpoint - Wendy's shares rose despite disappointing first-quarter sales, with analysts providing mixed assessments on the company's performance and outlook [1][2][6]. Financial Performance - Wendy's reported first-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $124.5 million, exceeding consensus estimates of $122.1 million [2]. - Total revenue for the quarter was $523.5 million, falling short of the consensus of $526.5 million [6]. - U.S. same-store sales declined by 2.8%, worse than the expected decline of 1.6% [2]. - Global same-store sales decreased by 2.1%, also worse than the consensus of a 1% decline [6]. Guidance and Outlook - Management lowered full-year systemwide sales growth guidance to a range of -2% to flat, down from a previous projection of +2% to +3% [3]. - The earnings guidance for 2025 was reduced to 92 cents-98 cents per share, from a prior range of 98 cents-$1.02 per share [7]. - EBITDA outlook for 2025 was trimmed to $530-$545 million, below Street expectations of $546 million [11]. Analyst Ratings and Insights - Truist Securities maintained a Buy rating but reduced the price target from $17 to $16 [2]. - RBC Capital Markets reiterated a Sector Perform rating with a price target of $14, noting consumer softness impacting sales [4]. - Stephens reaffirmed an Equal-weight rating and price target of $14, highlighting the impact of deteriorating consumer sentiment [6]. - KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained a Sector Weight rating, indicating expectations of low-to-middle single-digit same-store sales growth in the current quarter [8]. - Oppenheimer reiterated a Perform rating, reflecting concerns over the uncertain macroeconomic environment [11]. Market Trends and Challenges - The decline in same-store sales was attributed to adverse weather conditions and a macro pull-back in demand [3]. - Analysts noted that the trends turned negative after a brief positive period in late February and early March [12]. - The company is planning menu innovations and brand collaborations to boost momentum in the second half of the year [9][10].