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Brazil's Triple Macro Alignment Could Trigger A Multi-Year Bull Market
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-11 18:00
In my view, what’s happening in Brazil right now is not just another short-lived rally following a weak period. It looks much more like the rare alignment of three macroeconomic forces that don’t usually move in sync, and when they do, BrazilianEnglish and Brazilian Portuguese translator, proofreader, editor, and content writer specializing in Finance, Economics, and Investments. My strategy is focused on wealth preservation, income, and long-term appreciation. My national portfolio is made of Brazilian han ...
This Well-Known Consumer Brand Was Once a Monster Stock. With Shares Down 52%, Is It a Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-10 10:25
Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's stock has seen a significant increase of 321% over five years, but it currently trades 52% below its all-time high, raising questions about potential investment opportunities amid slowing growth and macroeconomic challenges [1]. Company Performance - In fiscal 2021, Lululemon reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 42.1%, which has since declined to 10.1% for fiscal 2024 [1]. - The company expects revenue growth of 5% to 7% for the current fiscal year, which, while lower than previous double-digit gains, is still better than the expected decline from competitors like Nike [7]. Macroeconomic Challenges - Consumer confidence has sharply declined, and the Federal Reserve is not expected to cut interest rates soon, contributing to a challenging economic environment [2]. - Lululemon sources 40% of its merchandise from Vietnam, where tariff negotiations have created uncertainty for the company [3]. Management Outlook - Lululemon's management has adopted a cautious tone, indicating that consumers are spending less due to inflation and economic concerns [4]. Brand Strength and Profitability - Lululemon has established a strong brand positioned at the premium end of the apparel market, which provides a competitive advantage [5]. - The company has maintained impressive profitability, with average gross and operating margins of 57.3% and 21.8% over the past five years [6]. Valuation Considerations - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.9, which is the lowest in the past decade, reflecting market pessimism [9]. - Despite the slower growth and tariff uncertainties, the current valuation may represent a new reality for investors [8].