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Kratos Defense Rises 280.4% YTD: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-11 18:56
Core Insights - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) shares have increased by 200.2% year to date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry's growth of 25.7, driven by strong demand for unmanned systems [1][7] - The company is a leading producer of drones and related technology, which is critical in modern warfare [1][4] Performance Comparison - Other defense equipment stocks, such as BWX Technologies (BWXT) and CurtissWright (CW), have also shown strong performance, with share gains of 78.7% and 65.8%, respectively, year to date [2] Growth Drivers - Kratos Defense is a key provider of unmanned aerial target drone systems for the U.S. military and allied defense agencies, securing multiple new contracts and strategic partnerships [4] - The Unmanned Systems division reported third-quarter 2025 revenues of $87.2 million, a 35.8% organic increase from $64.2 million a year ago, indicating strong demand [5] - The company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Orbit Technologies Ltd for $356.3 million, enhancing its capabilities in critical communications and expanding its market reach [5][8] - A solid backlog of $1.48 billion by the end of the third quarter of 2025 reflects strong revenue generation prospects [10] Strategic Partnerships - In October 2025, Kratos Defense formed a strategic partnership with Korea Aerospace Industries to advance Manned-Unmanned Teaming (MUM-T) technologies, enhancing operational capabilities in complex defense environments [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has remained unchanged, while the estimate for 2026 EPS indicates a slight increase of 1.41% [11] Financial Metrics - KTOS stock's trailing 12-month return on invested capital (ROIC) is below the peer group average, indicating insufficient returns on investments [16] - The forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for KTOS is 8.58X, which is a discount compared to the industry's average of 9.32X [17] Long-term Outlook - Kratos Defense is positioned for long-term growth due to strategic partnerships and a solid backlog of contracts, ensuring future revenue streams [22]