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Cannabis Stock Tilray Brands Skyrockets 94.5%: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 14:40
Core Insights - Tilray Brands (TLRY) shares have surged 94.5% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the industry which saw a 2.5% decline [1][9] - The stock's rise is attributed to optimism regarding potential federal regulations for hemp-derived products and indications of relaxed marijuana restrictions by President Donald Trump [2][9] - The company reported record first-quarter net revenues of $210 million, contributing to a strengthened balance sheet [2][9] Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Tilray Brands achieved a net income of $1.5 million, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $34.7 million in the same period last year [7][9] - Adjusted net income improved to $3.9 million from an adjusted net loss of $6 million year-over-year, driven by lower selling, general and administrative expenses and reduced amortization [7][9] Global Expansion - Tilray Medical is expanding its global footprint, establishing Solana Life Group in Panama to cultivate and distribute medical cannabis [4][9] - The company launched five new cannabis flower products in Germany and entered a strategic partnership with Italy's Molteni to enhance the availability of medical cannabis extracts [5][9] - In Australia, Tilray introduced its first medical cannabis edible, Good Supply Pastilles, emphasizing innovation in patient-focused treatment solutions [6][9] Competitive Landscape - Tilray Brands operates in a competitive market, facing challenges from peers like Village Farms International and Curaleaf Holdings, both pursuing international expansion and cost optimization [10] - As Tilray gains traction in international markets, competitive responses from these companies may intensify [10] Market Estimates and Challenges - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 sales indicates a year-over-year improvement of 6.8%, while loss per share is expected to deteriorate by 600% year-over-year [11] - The company faces challenges from price compression and regulatory issues in Canada, including high excise taxes and limited retail channels for cannabis beverages [12][14] - In Europe, growth is hindered by permit delays in Portugal and quota restrictions in Germany, along with currency volatility impacting performance [13][14] Valuation - Tilray shares are currently trading at a forward one-year price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.52X, which is a discount compared to the industry average of 3.16X [15]