Market Crises
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Weekly Investing Roundup – News, Podcasts, Interviews (12/26/2025)
Acquirersmultiple· 2025-12-26 02:39
Group 1: Investment News Highlights - Bill Ackman has made a $2.1 billion deal to acquire an insurer, aiming to create a "modern Berkshire Hathaway" [1] - Ray Dalio discusses the evolving nature of market crises and their impact on investment strategies [1] - A rotation from growth stocks to value stocks is anticipated to strengthen in the upcoming year [1] Group 2: Value Investing Insights - 2026 is projected to be a significant year for value stocks, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [4] - Polen Capital emphasizes a multi-dimensional approach to small-cap investing, highlighting the importance of diversification [4] - The Fear & Greed Index indicates a strongly overvalued market, suggesting caution among investors [4] Group 3: Research and Analysis - Research indicates that regulation may not effectively mitigate bad behavior in financial markets [7] - Professionals recommend various books that can enhance investment knowledge and strategies [7] - Predictions for 2026 suggest that the equal-weight S&P 500 may outperform the traditional market cap-weighted version [7]
Dalio: Why Market Crises Keep Changing the Rules for Investors
Bloomberg Television· 2025-12-21 13:00
Market Events & Financial Crisis - The market peaked in early 2000 and dropped approximately 30% within months [1] - Major financial institutions faced collapse, triggered by housing market sell-offs that spread to unrelated sectors [3] - The Fed implemented quantitative easing (QE) three times, restarting after less than a decade due to the COVID-19 pandemic [4] - COVID-19 pandemic caused market plunges of 20% to 30% in about 5 and a half weeks [5] - Headline inflation rates peaked at 9%, the highest in the modern era [6] Market Dynamics & Investment Trends - Individual investors drive the majority of activity in U S public equity markets by 2025, impacting prices and valuations [7] - Discussions of bubbles are resurfacing, with concerns about an AI bubble similar to the tech bubble of 2000 [8] - The US spent approximately $8 trillion on wars on terrorism, leading to budget deficits [9] - Since 2020, large budget deficits and wealth gaps have been monetized, leading to leveraging up of assets in private equity and venture capital markets [15][14] - Geopolitical conflicts necessitate a shift from consumer-based to directed economies, emphasizing infrastructure and energy development [18] Global Economic Factors - Developed countries, including Europe, the United States, and China, face declining populations, while the Global South experiences growing populations and migration linked to climate change [22] - A successful country requires education, productivity, financial resources, and avoidance of internal and international conflicts [26]