Andrew, it's great to see you. And I wanna talk about that rotation that we're seeing because whether you're looking at the equal weight S and P 500, whether you're looking at the small caps, it seems like you are seeing that broadening out. And it's interesting that you have the S and P 500 pretty much at record highs even though it's been kind of patchy performance when it comes to the magnificent seven.So what do you make of the market action so far this year. Do you think that this is sustainable. It's ...

Hub Group (NasdaqGS:HUBG) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 05, 2026 05:00 PM ET Company ParticipantsGarrett Holland - SVP of Investor RelationsKevin Beth - CFOPhil Yeager - President, CEO, and Vice ChairmanOperatorHello, and welcome to the Hub Group Preliminary Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results Conference Call. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to the company. You may now begin.Garrett HollandHello, and welcome to the Hub Group Preliminary Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results Conference Call. Joining on the ca ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Preliminary consolidated operating revenue for 2025 is expected to be $3.7 billion, a 7% decrease compared to the prior year [17] - Preliminary operating cash flow for 2025 is approximately $194 million [6][19] - Debt at December 31, 2025, totaled approximately $229 million, resulting in net debt of approximately $116 million, a decrease of approximately $50 million compared to December 31, 2024 [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ITS segment operating revenue for 2025 is expected to be approximately $2.2 billion, reflecting a low single-digit year-over-year decrease during the fourth quarter [18] - Logistics segment operating revenue for 2025 is expected to be approximately $1.6 billion, with a high single-digit year-over-year decrease during the fourth quarter [18] - Brokerage volumes declined 10% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, with revenue per load down 4% [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Intermodal volume growth was 1% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, with refrigerated volumes increasing by 150% and Mexico volumes increasing by 33% [7] - Market conditions remain fluid, with tightening capacity conditions later in the quarter due to lower driver supply and weather disruptions [19] - Demand from shippers is cautiously optimistic, with potential benefits from stimulus measures countering lingering inflationary pressure [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on controlling costs, enhancing service levels, and investing in technology and acquisitions [6][14] - Capital allocation plan emphasizes investing in business growth, returning capital to shareholders, and evaluating M&A opportunities [15][22] - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility to support long-term growth [14][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that freight market conditions remain challenging but are seeing positive trends as 2026 begins, with improving ISM New Orders and spot market activity [24] - The company believes it is well-positioned to support customers in an evolving environment and is optimistic about growth opportunities [13][14] - There is uncertainty in the near term, but the company sees drivers creating an exciting backdrop for growth in 2026 and beyond [15][24] Other Important Information - A calculation error was identified that resulted in the understatement of purchased transportation costs and accounts payable, with a total reduction of $77 million recorded during the first nine months of 2025 [4][16] - The company plans to restate quarterly financial information for Q1, Q2, and Q3 2025 in its 2025 Form 10-K [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for intermodal volume growth in 2026? - Management expressed optimism regarding intermodal volume growth in 2026, driven by strong service performance and consolidation with rail partners [9] Question: How is the company addressing the challenges in the brokerage segment? - Management indicated that while brokerage volumes are under pressure, productivity has improved significantly due to investments in technology and restructuring [12] Question: What are the expectations for capital expenditures in 2026? - The company expects capital expenditures to be between $35 million and $45 million, focusing on technology projects and opportunistic replacements for tractors [21]

Market Context Recent developments do not materially alter the primary thesis; rather, they provide additional short-term clarity on how the current corrective phase may resolve before the next directional move emerges. Overall market behavior remains consistent with a late-stage corrective environment, characterized by controlled downside pressure rather than structural breakdown. Technical analysis of BTCUSD weekly price action identifying a late-stage corrective framework and Elliott Wave structural ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin's capital inflows have ceased as it stabilizes around $94,000, indicating a shift in market dynamics influenced by institutional long-term holding strategies and diversified liquidity channels [1][2] - The traditional whale-retail sell cycle has been disrupted, particularly due to significant institutional holdings like MicroStrategy's 673,000 BTC, leading to expectations of a prolonged sideways trading period rather than sharp corrections [2][4] Market Dynamics - Whale exchange activity has decreased despite Bitcoin's price recovery, contrasting with historical trends where increased whale activity typically precedes selling pressure [3][4] - The current market environment is characterized as "structurally healthy," with limited distribution pressure from major holders [4] Retail Investor Behavior - Retail investors are notably absent from the current recovery phase, with a negative 30-day change in retail demand for Bitcoin [4][5] - The lack of participation from both retail and large holders has resulted in a stagnant market state, with no clear momentum for price movement [5] Price Movements and Predictions - Bitcoin recently dipped below $90,000, filling its first CME gap, which raises concerns about potential further declines towards the $88,000 level [6] - On-chain metrics indicate that Bitcoin is entering a phase of reduced profit-taking pressure and structural stabilization, suggesting early signs of recovery [7][8]

Group 1 - The article discusses the current market cycle phase and its implications for investment strategies [1][2] - It highlights the importance of understanding market cycles to identify potential investment opportunities and risks [1] - The analysis emphasizes the need for investors to adapt their strategies based on the prevailing market conditions [1] Group 2 - The author, Neils Christensen, has extensive experience in financial reporting and analysis, contributing to the credibility of the insights provided [3] - The article aims to inform readers about market dynamics without making specific investment recommendations [4]

Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant volatility, with Bitcoin's price dropping from nearly $125,000 to around $90,000, representing a 20% decline in three months. Other cryptocurrencies like XRP and Ethereum have faced similar or worse downturns during this period [1]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior - Investors are currently facing high emotional risks, which can lead to impulsive decisions such as panic selling during market downturns [2]. - Emotional responses to market fluctuations can result in suboptimal investment decisions, where losses are felt more acutely than gains, making it difficult for investors to buy during dips [4]. - The tendency to react based on mood and market sentiment can lead to buying at peak prices and selling during fear, which is counterproductive [5]. Group 2: Investment Strategy Recommendations - In the current climate of fear within the crypto sector, it is crucial for investors to maintain conviction in their investment theses and consider buying opportunities despite market conditions [6]. - Establishing an automated process to manage investments can help mitigate emotional decision-making and improve investment outcomes [7]. - The negative feelings associated with losing investments can drive poor decision-making, highlighting the importance of a structured approach to investing [8].

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin, the beauty of mathematics part 65. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, normally I do these videos on the first of the month, but I was traveling a lot.I I was in Dubai, as I'm sure many of you guys know. Um, so I didn't reall ...

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Although many ETF investors believe the Fed’s December rate meeting is the final hurdle to clear in 2025, there are increasing signs that a new market cycle is already underway. Astoria Portfolio Advisors founder, CEO and CIO John Davi and LionShares CEO Sofia Massie sit down with CNBC’s Contessa Brewer on “ETF Edge” to discuss the best way to position a portfolio as we near the end of the year, the set-up for 2026, key trends to watch for, and why it’s important to look beyond the Mag 7. ...