Market Cycle ROI

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Bitcoin Market Cycle ROI
Benjamin Cowenยท 2025-07-08 15:11
Market Cycle Analysis - Bitcoin's ROI from the low is nearly 7x, indicating diminishing returns in the current cycle [3] - In the previous cycle, Bitcoin was up approximately 14 to 15x at a similar point, while the cycle before that saw a 24x increase [3] - Cycles 3 and 4 ended around day 1,059 and 1,067 respectively, measured from the low, while the current cycle is on day 968, projecting a potential peak in Q4 [5] Historical Performance - Two cycles ago, Bitcoin increased by over 100x, while the last cycle saw an increase of about 20x (approximately 1/5) [7] - Currently, Bitcoin is up about 7x this cycle, which is more than 1/5 of the previous cycle's gains [7] Future Outlook - The analysis suggests monitoring the market cycle ROI chart, especially towards the end of the year, for potential insights [9] - The report anticipates a potential midterm year bear market following the peak, similar to previous cycles [9] - The analysis suggests that major market cycle bottoms occur approximately every four years, presenting accumulation opportunities [10]