Workflow
Market Floor
icon
Search documents
Bitcoin Mining Economics Signal Potential Market Floor
Etftrends· 2026-02-10 22:03
Core Insights - Bitcoin is currently trading below the average production cost for publicly listed miners, which is approximately $74,600, a situation that historically does not persist for long [1] - The gap between mining economics and current prices may indicate an approaching market bottom, especially as large holders have resumed buying after a period of selling [1] - Entities holding more than 10,000 bitcoin sold around $28 billion during the recent downturn but have since purchased approximately $4.7 billion in the last two weeks [1] - Trading volumes have reached historic highs, with global crypto exchange-traded product volumes hitting a record $18.5 billion on February 8, indicating potential final selling pressure [1] - The production cost threshold creates natural support levels, suggesting that spot prices remaining significantly below production costs are typically short-lived [1] Mining Sector Performance - The CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI) has $201.3 million in assets and has returned 14.5% year-to-date, providing direct exposure to companies navigating production economics [1] - IREN Limited (IREN) is the largest position in the fund at 22.5% of assets, followed by Cipher Mining Inc. (CIFR) at 18.3% [1] - The CoinShares Bitcoin ETF (BRRR) holds $425.5 million in assets with a 0.25% expense ratio and has seen $4.56 million in net inflows over the past month [1] - Despite over 75% of bitcoin positions being underwater, behavioral and production-level signals suggest that downside momentum may be nearing exhaustion [1]