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Jefferies' David Zervos says investors should not be nervous after today's sell-off
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-08-01 22:00
Labor Market Data & Politics - The accuracy and volatility of jobs data are questioned, with concerns about potential political influence on data calculation and interpretation [2][4][5] - The administration is perceived to be concerned about political undercurrents affecting data, potentially leading to preemptive actions regarding appointments [2][3] - There's a call for improving the quality of data and allocating more resources to ensure accuracy, especially given revisions in job performance metrics [6][7] Trade Deals & Market Catalysts - Approximately 70% of trade deals have been "inked," but not finalized, with focus shifting to the China deal as a potential market catalyst [8] - The market's reaction to trade deals is diminishing compared to earlier periods, with monetary policy expected to be a more significant driver [10][14] - The negotiator's strategy involves creating disruption to bring trading partners to the table and secure fairer deals for the United States [11][12] Monetary Policy & Economic Impact - Monetary policy is expected to drive markets more than trade deals, especially as investment from enacted bills filters through economic data [14] - The market is conditioned to understand the negotiator's techniques, reducing fear when large numbers are announced in trade negotiations [12] - Examples like Switzerland suggest that initial high numbers in trade disputes can be negotiated down through concessions and investments [12][13]