Regulatory Landscape & Innovation - CFTC (商品期货交易委员会) 在代币化、现货交易、连续市场和数字资产监管方面取得进展，反映了全球金融发展趋势 [1] - Kraken 积极参与受监管的期货和衍生品生态系统，拥有注册的 FCM (期货佣金商) 和 CFTC 许可的 DCM (指定合约市场) [3] - 美国需要立法明确性和运营准备，以保持在市场基础设施方面的领导地位 [3] - 美国有机会引领市场基础设施的下一个篇章，否则领导地位将转移 [6] Principles for Market Structure - 开放系统、互操作性和用户所有权是重要原则，创新、消费者保护和机构保障可以相互加强 [2] - 强大的规则、开放的架构、可互操作的系统和透明的运营是技术和金融领域取得强大成果的关键要素 [4] - 行业倡导针对加密货币现货交易的直接规则、跨机构的互操作框架、反映全球流动性的连续市场结构以及代币化抵押品和稳定币的明确标准 [5] Vision for the Future - 行业支持奖励透明度和系统完整性的监督模型 [5] - 行业致力于建立一个反映开放性、竞争和用户所有权的现代金融体系 [7] - 创新和监管相结合，可以为消费者和机构提供更好的产品，并加强美国在全球经济中的地位 [7]

Stablecoins saw meaningful movement this week across market structure, institutional adoption, and protocol launches.Get all the details in this week's edition of In The Stables 👇Alexander (@ahbeaudry):https://t.co/hPsrvdr3pJ ...

RT benedict (@bqbrady)Very special new job posting. We are building an internal research lab to explore some extremely exciting new ideas for DeFi market structureLearn more here: https://t.co/N6Gbfgz1up https://t.co/VDUYcqdBpi ...

RT Eugene Chen (@0xShitTrader)Prop AMMs like @SolFiAMM are the first live proof that under some circumstances, fully on-chain liquidity can outcompete centralized exchanges on majors.Further improvements in market structure will continue to be non-skeuomorphic to what exists on centralized venues.There still remains lots of opportunity at the frontier of on-chain market structure and @ellipsis_labs actively pursues it. Some areas of research I have my eye on:- On-chain routing- On-chain flow discrimination- ...

the most important and asymmetrical subfields of crypto:- mev- market structure- privacy- perpification of new assets- scalability (especially burst)- trading modalities- market-based gov- defi composability- zk- adding basic vesting contracts to token launches ...

Inside the Push to Pass the Market Structure Bill https://t.co/3VOhgEYcLe ...

Crypto’s $450 Billion Lesson In Market Structure https://t.co/O880rQA8Ms ...

Market Structure Insights - Current market structure indicates a potential for increased volatility, as observed in early Q4, aligning with previous predictions made in April [3][4] - The market's behavior is often mathematical and predictable, with the "123 rule" suggesting that a narrow spread in SPY could signal upcoming volatility [5][6] Fund Behavior and Market Dynamics - The Growth Fund of America holds a significant amount of cash due to redemptions, while BlackRock has gathered $26 billion in assets, primarily directed towards large-cap stocks [7][8] - Market makers like Citadel, Susquehanna, and Jane Street play a crucial role in pricing large caps and ETFs, and narrow spreads can lead to volatility when economic conditions change [8] Volatility Trends - Recent data indicates that the market has experienced one of the longest periods of stable sentiment since 2018, with a notable event on October 10 marking significant volatility [10][11] - The upcoming options expirations are critical, as they may reset market conditions and influence volatility, with a notional value of $1.2 trillion in zero days to expiration options [12][13]

Technical Analysis Techniques - The industry uses Fibonacci tools to identify potential price targets after a breakout, focusing on standard deviations (0.5, 1, 2 etc) and specific levels like 0.618 [1] - The industry emphasizes monitoring high time frame market structure to validate uptrends until key structure levels are breached [1] Risk Management - Once in price discovery, traditional price levels are no longer reliable for managing risk [1]

Market Structure and Investor Behavior - Market structure influences price movements and liquidity, affecting investor perception and stock performance [1] - Momentum is driven by structural factors like passive funds and buybacks rather than just stock fundamentals [1] - Bull markets create a false sense of security among investors, leading to a neglect of risk assessment [2][3] - The illusion of skill in investing often arises from favorable market conditions rather than actual decision-making [3] Signs of Structural Shifts - Structural shifts are indicated by narrowing market breadth, where fewer stocks drive index gains [4] - A slowdown in corporate buybacks and increased insider selling signal potential structural changes [4] - Changes in sector correlations and capital allocation reflect shifts in market structure [4] Impact of Structural Changes on Investment Strategies - Strategies reliant on momentum and leverage may fail when market structure changes, as seen in past market collapses [5] - Successful investors adapt to structural changes by reducing exposure and rebalancing before volatility increases [5] - Discipline in investment processes is crucial for navigating market shifts effectively [5] Trading with Structural Awareness - Identifying catalysts from structural changes, such as spinoffs and governance shifts, can reveal mispriced opportunities [7] - Structural alpha is most apparent when market narratives fade and liquidity tightens, emphasizing the importance of process over conviction [7] - Position sizing should be data-driven, aligning with structural changes before they become widely recognized [7] Conclusion on Market Cycles - Confidence built during bull markets often leads to harsh corrections when market structures shift [8] - Endurance and a disciplined process are key to surviving market transitions, as understanding structure provides a competitive edge [8]