Workflow
Medicaid Rate
icon
Search documents
Centene(CNC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported third quarter adjusted EPS of $0.50, exceeding previous expectations, and increased the full-year adjusted EPS forecast to at least $2 from $1.75 [4][5][25] - Premium and service revenue for the third quarter was $44.9 billion, with a GAAP loss per share of $13.50 due to a $6.7 billion non-cash goodwill impairment charge [25][32] - The adjusted effective tax rate was temporarily low, contributing approximately $0.10 to adjusted EPS, with an expected full-year adjusted tax rate of 20% to 21% [25][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Medicaid segment achieved a third quarter HBR of 93.4%, aided by improved revenue from Florida's Children's Medical Services, which included a net $150 million positive revenue adjustment [10][25][26] - The Medicare segment's HBR was reported at 94.3%, reflecting typical cost patterns, with Medicare Advantage showing elevated medical cost trends consistent with expectations [18][25] - The Marketplace segment ended the quarter with approximately 5.8 million members, slightly better than expectations, despite experiencing medical cost pressure in September [15][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Medicaid membership stood at 12.7 million, with expectations of slight attrition in the coming quarters [27] - The company anticipates a 2025 Medicaid composite rate adjustment of roughly 5.5%, up from earlier estimates [8] - The Marketplace segment is preparing for potential market contraction in the high teens to mid-30s range due to the expiration of EAPTCs [40][45] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on margin recovery over membership growth, particularly in the Marketplace segment, with pricing actions taken to support margin expansion in 2026 [39][51] - Continued advocacy for improved Medicaid rates and program changes is a priority, with efforts to manage high-cost drugs and enhance clinical management [11][14][57] - The company plans to provide detailed 2026 guidance in early February, emphasizing operational improvements and efficiency gains [22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the overall performance of the business, despite challenges in the operating environment, and highlighted the importance of being responsible stewards of taxpayer dollars [24][60] - The company is closely monitoring trends in Medicaid and Marketplace utilization, with proactive measures in place to address potential challenges [10][37] - Management remains optimistic about the long-term viability of the individual health insurance market, despite uncertainties surrounding EAPTCs [17][40] Other Important Information - The company reported strong cash flow from operations of $1.4 billion in Q3, with unregulated cash on hand at $357 million [33] - The medical claims liability totaled $21.5 billion, representing 48 days in claims payable, an increase of one day compared to the previous quarter [33] - The company is prepared to harvest unrealized losses in Q4 to improve investment income trajectory for 2026 [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company ensure stability in the Marketplace amid competitor exits? - Management noted a slight uptick in utilization in September, correlating with national discussions on rate increases and EAPTCs, and emphasized prudent coverage for Q4 [36][37][40] Question: What efforts are in place to re-engage potential enrollees in the Marketplace? - The company is prepared to mobilize marketing efforts and broker relationships to recapture members who may not re-engage during open enrollment [42][44] Question: What is the outlook for Medicaid margins in 2026? - Management indicated that while 2026 is expected to be a trough year, they are focused on maintaining consistent profitability and margin improvement [68]