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Reasons Why PSX's Midstream Portfolio Offsets Elevated Crude Prices
ZACKS· 2026-02-19 17:30
Core Insights - Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to benefit from declining crude oil prices, with the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price forecasted to drop from $65.40 per barrel in 2025 to $49.34 in 2027, enhancing its refining operations [1][9] Group 1: Business Model and Strategy - PSX has expanded into the midstream segment to mitigate crude price volatility, generating stable, fee-based revenues by leasing midstream assets [2] - The company has consistently invested in its midstream segment since Q1 2022, with significant projects like the Pinnacle and Coastal Bend acquisitions, and the Dos Picos 2 expansion, with several growth projects expected to complete by 2027 [3][9] Group 2: Competitive Positioning - Compared to PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) and Valero Energy Corporation (VLO), PSX is better positioned to handle high crude prices due to its robust midstream operations [4][5] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, PSX shares have increased by 19.7%, while the industry composite stocks have risen by 24.1% [6] - PSX trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 13.1X, significantly above the industry average of 5.08X [8] - Earnings estimates for PSX have seen upward revisions for 2026, with current estimates at $11.40 per share for the year [11][12]