Market Trend Analysis - Bitcoin bull markets historically conclude with a pattern: July-August increase, September pullback, October rally, and a Q4 market cycle top [1] - Bitcoin tends to perform poorly in midterm years, despite strong performance in July-August and Q4 of post-halving years [3] Predictive Analysis - Narrative often follows price movements rather than the reverse [3] - The historical pattern of Bitcoin's performance may or may not repeat [2]