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Sterling Stock Surges 90% YTD: Should Investors Ride the Rally?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 16:51
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) shares have increased by 90.3% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Engineering – R&D Services industry's growth of 14.3% and the broader Construction sector and S&P 500, which grew by 5.9% and 18.9%, respectively [1][4]. Company Performance - The company is experiencing strong demand for mission-critical work, particularly in data centers, e-commerce, and manufacturing, which is driving growth in its E-Infrastructure segment [2]. - The acquisition of CEC is enhancing Sterling's capabilities in electrical services, with early signs of successful integration and positive customer reception [5][9]. - In the third quarter, CEC contributed over $41 million in revenues, aligning with margin expectations, and the integration is expected to unlock further margin expansion through 2027 [5][8]. Market Position and Expansion - Sterling is outperforming competitors such as AECOM, Fluor Corporation, and KBR, which have seen declines of 12.4%, 23.1%, and 31.6% respectively this year [4]. - The company is expanding into new high-growth regions to capture opportunities in data centers and semiconductors, with a backlog and multi-phase pipeline exceeding $4 billion, providing strong revenue visibility through 2026 [8][11]. Demand Drivers - There is a notable increase of over 150% in e-commerce-related backlog as companies expand fulfillment centers, necessitating deeper underground utility networks and higher electrical capacity [12]. - Manufacturing activity remains robust, with several large semiconductor and industrial megaprojects nearing execution, providing visibility into multi-year opportunities [13][14]. Financial Outlook - Sterling's signed backlog reached $2.6 billion, a 64% year-over-year increase, with total potential work exceeding $4 billion when including negotiated awards and future phases [16]. - Analysts have revised earnings per share (EPS) estimates upward for 2025 and 2026, projecting growth of 71% and 14.6%, respectively, despite the stock trading at a premium valuation compared to peers [22][24]. Strategic Positioning - The successful integration of CEC and early-entry strategies into high-growth regions are expected to enhance margin potential and strengthen Sterling's competitive positioning [24][25]. - The company is well-positioned for continued growth, supported by strong execution across mission-critical markets and rising demand from data centers, e-commerce, and semiconductor manufacturing [24].