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美洲科技_硬件-网络设备 2025 年第二季度市场份额及展望更新-Americas Technology_ Hardware_ 650 Group campus networking equipment 2Q25 market share & outlook update
2025-09-07 16:19
Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **campus networking equipment** industry, specifically the **enterprise WLAN** and **campus switching** markets, as reported by **650 Group**. Key Points WLAN Market Insights - The **enterprise WLAN market** (indoor + cloud managed) experienced a **13% year-over-year growth** in **2Q25**, up from **9% in 1Q25**. This growth is attributed to the ongoing upgrades to **WiFi 7** and **6E** technologies [1][4] - The **revenue** for the enterprise WLAN (indoor) market reached **$2.1 billion** in **2Q25**, with **WiFi 7** contributing **$468 million** (up **882% year-over-year**) and **WiFi 6E** generating **$595 million** (up **11% year-over-year**) [4][10] - **WiFi 7**'s share of the total enterprise WLAN (indoor) market increased to **22%** in **2Q25**, compared to **17% in 1Q25**. Conversely, **WiFi 6E**'s share decreased to **28%** from **32%** [5][15] Campus Switching Market Insights - The **campus switching market** saw a **9% year-over-year growth** in **2Q25**, up from **5% in 1Q25**, driven by demand for refreshing aging equipment and supporting increased data traffic [2][9] - Cisco continues to dominate the enterprise switching market with a **52% share**, while **HPE** holds **12%**, and **Huawei** increased its share to **9%** [9][21] Future Projections - **650 Group** anticipates a deceleration in the enterprise WLAN market growth to **8% year-over-year** in **C3Q25** and **7% in C4Q25** [1][8] - The enterprise switching market is expected to slow down to **1% year-over-year growth** in **C3Q25** and decline by **5% year-over-year** in **C4Q25** [2][9] Company-Specific Updates - Updates to the **Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)** model reflect recent **10-K disclosures** and seasonal adjustments for **F2Q26E** [3] - CSCO's **EPS estimates** for **F2026/27/28** have been lowered by an average of **1%** due to the latest disclosures and typical seasonality [23] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside risks** include trends such as hybrid work, multi-cloud network architecture adoption, and the broader rollout of WiFi 6/6E and 5G [27] - **Downside risks** involve competition from major Chinese providers like **Huawei**, margin degradation due to a shift towards cloud customers, and pricing pressures from commoditization [27] Investment Thesis - CSCO is recognized as the global market share leader in networking equipment, with a comprehensive platform across various categories. Despite facing market share losses due to competition, CSCO's extensive offerings position it as a trusted provider [28] Additional Important Information - The **cloud-managed WLAN revenue** was approximately **$396 million**, reflecting a **14% year-over-year increase** [4] - Cisco's leadership in the WLAN market is evident with a **35% share**, followed by **HPE Aruba** at **16%** and **Huawei** at **10%** [12]