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NATH vs. ARKR: Which Restaurant Stock Has More Upside for Investors?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:31
Core Insights - Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH) and Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) represent two distinct operating models in the consumer-facing food sector, with NATH focusing on brand marketing and multi-channel distribution, while ARKR emphasizes direct restaurant ownership and operations [1][2] Company Overview - Nathan's Famous operates through a scalable brand platform that includes branded product sales, licensing, and a franchise network, which allows for broader distribution and reduced reliance on any single growth channel [6][8] - Ark Restaurants operates a portfolio of destination-oriented restaurants and bars, leveraging seasonal demand and tourism, which can lead to significant benefits during peak periods [9] Stock Performance & Valuation - Over the past three months, NATH's stock has decreased by 13.6%, while ARKR's has declined by 10.2%. However, in the past year, NATH's stock has increased by 18.1%, contrasting with ARKR's loss of 54.6% [3] - NATH is trading at a trailing 12-month enterprise value-to-sales (EV/S) ratio of 2.5X, slightly below its five-year median of 2.6X, while ARKR's EV/S ratio is at 0.1X, below its median of 0.3X [4] Factors Driving Nathan's Famous Stock - The multi-channel structure of Nathan's Famous supports broad distribution across various platforms, enhancing brand visibility and reducing dependence on restaurant traffic [6][8] - The high-margin licensing platform of Nathan's Famous, supported by long-term agreements, generates recurring royalty income and extends brand presence beyond restaurants [7] - Continued expansion in the Branded Product Program contributes to sales growth through foodservice distributors and large customer accounts, while the company manages inflation-related pressures effectively [8] Factors Driving Ark Restaurants Stock - Ark Restaurants benefits from high-visibility locations that attract seasonal demand and tourism, which can lead to improved performance during peak times [9] - The Bryant Park situation presents a potential catalyst for Ark Restaurants, as resolution of lease or legal issues could enhance business visibility and investor confidence [10] - Ark Restaurants has long-term growth potential through its interest in New Meadowlands Racetrack, which could provide opportunities for a future casino license [11] Investment Outlook - Nathan's Famous is currently viewed as better positioned than Ark Restaurants due to its diversified, brand-led model that allows for scalable and predictable earnings [12][14] - Despite NATH's recent underperformance, its stronger one-year rally and reasonable valuation relative to historical norms suggest a more attractive investment opportunity compared to ARKR, which faces ongoing uncertainty [15]