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新兴市场每周资金流向监测:对冲基金以 7 周来最快速度净买入中国股票;新兴市场基金今年迄今回报为 + 2% 至 + 18%
2025-08-24 14:47
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the Emerging Markets (EM) and specifically highlights the Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) flows in Asia, particularly Taiwan and Korea, as well as the performance of mutual funds in the region. Core Insights and Arguments - **FII Outflows**: EM Asia ex-China markets experienced significant FII selling amounting to **US$4.8 billion** week-over-week, primarily driven by Taiwan with **US$4.1 billion** and Korea with **US$0.8 billion** in outflows [1][35][40]. - **FII Inflows**: Conversely, India and Indonesia recorded minor FII inflows of **US$0.1 billion** each [1][35]. - **Global Equity Fund Flows**: Global equity funds saw inflows of **US$3 billion** week-over-week, contrasting with **US$26 billion** inflows from the previous week. Developed Markets (DM) experienced outflows of **US$2.5 billion** [5]. - **Mutual Fund Performance**: A sample of the largest **350 EM and Asian mutual funds** achieved year-to-date (YTD) returns of **17-18%**, with **65-70%** of these funds outperforming their benchmarks in August [6][10]. - **Mutual Fund Positioning**: EM funds are overweight (OW) in Indonesia and Thailand, while underweight (UW) in Taiwan. Over the past month, exposure to India and China has increased, while Taiwan's exposure has been reduced [12][14]. - **Hedge Fund Activity**: Hedge funds net bought Chinese equities at the fastest pace in **7 weeks**, indicating a shift in sentiment towards Chinese markets [6][14]. Additional Important Insights - **Southbound Flows**: Southbound flows into Hong Kong saw moderate inflows of **US$2.3 billion** this week, with a year-to-date total of **US$123 billion** [5]. - **Regional Performance**: The EM Asia region (excluding China) has seen a cumulative buying of **US$29 billion** after significant outflows of **US$98 billion** that began in July 2024 [33]. - **Non-Asia EMs**: Non-Asia emerging markets experienced selling of **US$290 million** week-over-week, led by South Africa with **US$270 million** in outflows [1][40]. - **China's Mutual Fund Allocation**: China's active allocation in mutual funds globally increased to **6.6%**, remaining underweight by **320 basis points** [17][19]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing insights into the current state of FII flows, mutual fund performance, and market positioning within the emerging markets landscape.