Summary of Key Points from the Greater China Healthcare Corporate Day Industry Overview - **Industry**: Healthcare in Greater China, including biopharma, CROs, medtech, services, pharmacies, and vaccines - **Sentiment**: Positive sentiment observed in biopharma and CRO sectors, with a focus on undervalued assets following recent market pullbacks [1][1] - **Key Companies**: Wuxi Apptec, Duality, Hansoh, 3SBio, and Tigermed highlighted as companies of interest due to their overseas businesses and partnered assets [1][1] Biopharma Insights - **R&D and Commercialization**: Most biopharma companies are on track with R&D and commercialization efforts. Innovative drug sales and milestone payments are expected to drive near-term revenues [2][2] - **Revenue Projections**: - Huadong Medicine: Rmb2 billion in 2025F and Rmb3 billion in 2026F [2][2] - Sino Biopharm: Projected organic profit growth of over 20% in 2025F and double-digit growth in 2026F [2][2] - **Pricing Pressure**: Volume-based procurement (VBP) continues to impact the generics segment, although biosimilar VBP may remain limited to provincial levels [2][2] CRO and CDMO Performance - **CDMO Orders**: Strong orders and backlog reported for CDMO companies, outperforming CROs due to robust overseas demand [3][3] - **CRO Recovery**: Mild recovery signals noted for domestic CRO demand, despite lagging booking income [3][3] Medtech Sector - **Investor Sentiment**: Generally muted, with some positive indicators in segments like in-vitro diagnosis (IVD) [4][4] - **Company Guidance**: - New Industries: Expected 10% revenue growth in 2026F [4][4] - Yuyue Medical: Anticipates 10% revenue growth for 2025F and higher growth in 2026F [4][4] - **Pharmacies and TCM**: Positive feedback received, with expectations for M&A to drive growth in 2026E [4][4] Company-Specific Updates - **Kelun Biotech**: Maintained sales target of Rmb800 million to Rmb1 billion for sac-TMT (TROP2 ADC) in 2025, with potential for significant milestone payments from 2027F [7][7] - **Abbisko**: R&D progressing well, with potential NDA submission in the US for Pimicotinib expected in Q425 [8][8] - **Hutchmed**: Maintained 2025 oncology revenue guidance of US$270-350 million, with expectations for better performance in 2026 [11][11] - **Zai Lab**: Revised down 2025 revenue guidance to over US$460 million, but noted good growth trends for Zejula [14][14] - **3SBio**: Pfizer planning multiple clinical trials for SSGJ-707, with significant near-term milestone payments expected [24][24] Vaccines and Pharmacies - **CanSino**: Highlighted a diverse product portfolio, including COVID-19 vaccines and other candidates, with healthy inventory levels [39][39] - **Gushengtang**: Targeting 10-15% organic revenue growth in 2026, with notable progress in overseas business [44][44] Risks and Challenges - **Market Risks**: Potential risks include worse-than-expected price cuts from GPO programs, intensified competition, and regulatory challenges [50][50] This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections from the Greater China Healthcare Corporate Day, highlighting the positive sentiment in the biopharma and CRO sectors, along with specific company updates and potential risks in the healthcare industry.