Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

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中国 - 清洁能源:中国目标到 2035 年风电和光伏装机容量达 3600 吉瓦-China – Clean Energy-China Targets 3,600GW Wind and Solar Installations by 2035
2025-09-26 02:28
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Clean Energy in China, focusing on wind and solar installations - **Target**: China aims to achieve 3,600GW of wind and solar installations by 2035 [1][2] Core Insights and Arguments - **Installation Projections**: - From 2026 to 2035, China is expected to add a total of 1,787GW of wind and solar installations, averaging 179GW annually [7] - In 2025 alone, the forecast is for 406GW of new installations, comprising 106GW from wind and 300GW from solar [7] - Cumulative installations are projected to reach 1,816GW by the end of 2025, with wind at 627GW and solar at 1,187GW [7] - **Market Dynamics**: - Wind power installations are anticipated to outpace solar installations during 2026-2035 due to a more favorable tariff outlook and better return profiles [2][7] - Significant advancements in deep-sea offshore wind technology are expected during the 15th five-year plan [2] - **Supporting Infrastructure**: - There is an expected robust demand for energy storage and power grid enhancements to accommodate the influx of renewable energy [3] - Energy storage will play a critical role in managing the intermittency of wind and solar power, necessitating investments in ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission and smart grid upgrades [3] Additional Important Information - **Energy Consumption Goals**: - Non-fossil energy sources are projected to account for over 30% of total energy consumption by 2035 [7] - The national carbon emissions trading market is expected to encompass most high-emission sectors, contributing to a reduction of net greenhouse gas emissions by 7-10% from peak levels [7] - **Investment Outlook**: - The clean energy sector in China is viewed as attractive, with ongoing reforms and investments expected to drive growth [5] - **Analyst Ratings**: - Various companies within the clean energy sector have been rated by Morgan Stanley, indicating a mix of overweight and equal-weight ratings, reflecting a positive outlook on the industry [58] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding China's clean energy sector, highlighting the ambitious targets set for wind and solar installations, the supporting infrastructure needed, and the overall investment attractiveness of the industry.