January Nymex natural gas (NGF26) on Thursday closed down sharply by -0.364 (-7.92%). Jan nat-gas prices plunged to a 5-week low on Thursday and settled sharply lower.  The outlook for warmer US weather, which will reduce nat-gas heating demand, is hammering prices.   Forecaster Atmospheric G2 said Thursday that forecasts shifted warmer across the southern and eastern US for December 16-20, and the outlook has trended warmer for most of the US for December 21-25. More News from Barchart Nat-gas price ...

January Nymex natural gas (NGF26) on Tuesday closed down by -0.081 (-1.65%). Jan nat-gas prices fell from a 3-year nearest-futures high on Tuesday and settled sharply lower.   Long liquidation pressures emerged on Tuesday to knock nat-gas prices lower after updated US weather forecasts turned warmer, potentially reducing nat-gas heating demand.  Forecaster Atmospheric G2 on Tuesday said that forecasts shifted warmer in the eastern and southern US for December 12-16. More News from Barchart Nat-gas pric ...

January Nymex natural gas (NGF26) on Friday closed up by +0.292 (+6.41%). Jan nat-gas prices rallied sharply on Friday, surging to an 8.5-month nearest-futures high on expectations of colder US weather, potentially boosting heating demand for nat-gas.   The Commodity Weather Group on Friday said weather models shifted cooler in the US, with intense cold seen in the Northeast and Great Lakes region for December 3-7.  Also, forecasts indicate below-normal temperatures in the coming weeks for the Northeast a ...

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ25) on Tuesday closed down by -0.125 (-2.75%). Dec nat-gas prices retreated on Tuesday amid warmer US weather forecasts for early next month, potentially reducing nat-gas heating demand.  Forecaster Vaisala said Tuesday that forecasts shifted warmer across the US for December 5-9.  Also, the liquidation of December nat-gas futures contracts weighed on prices, as the contracts expire on Tuesday. More News from Barchart Expectations of a smaller weekly EIA storage draw are ...

Core Insights - Natural gas prices increased by 2.48% on Friday, reaching a one-week high due to forecasts of colder weather in the US, which is expected to boost heating demand [1] - The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a larger-than-expected decline in natural gas inventories, which supported price increases [2][6] Production and Demand - US natural gas production is at a record high, with the EIA raising its 2025 production forecast by 1.0% to 107.67 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/day) [3] - As of Friday, US dry gas production was 111.1 bcf/day, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.9%, while gas demand was 82.8 bcf/day, down 9.2% year-over-year [4] Storage and Supply - The EIA reported a decrease of 14 billion cubic feet (bcf) in natural gas inventories for the week ending November 14, which was more than the expected decline of 12 bcf and significantly below the five-year average increase of 12 bcf for the same period [2][6] - As of November 18, European gas storage was 81% full, compared to the five-year seasonal average of 90% [6] Electricity Output - The Edison Electric Institute reported a year-over-year increase of 5.33% in US electricity output for the week ending November 15, totaling 75,586 GWh, which may support natural gas demand for electricity generation [5]

Core Insights - Natural gas prices experienced a decline due to warmer weather forecasts in the US, which may reduce heating demand [1] - Weekly natural gas storage reported a larger decline than expected, indicating potential supply constraints [2][4] - Increased US natural gas production is exerting downward pressure on prices, with production levels near record highs [3] Price Movements - December Nymex natural gas closed down by -0.076 (-1.67%) [1] - Initial price increase was observed before settling lower due to weather forecasts [1] Storage and Supply - EIA reported a decline of -14 billion cubic feet (bcf) in natural gas inventories for the week ended November 14, exceeding expectations of -12 bcf [2][4] - Current inventories are down -0.6% year-on-year but are +3.8% above the five-year seasonal average, indicating adequate supply [4] Production and Demand - EIA raised its forecast for 2025 US natural gas production by +1.0% to 107.67 bcf/day [3] - Active US natural gas rigs are at a two-year high, contributing to increased production [3] - Lower-48 state gas production was reported at 110.1 bcf/day (+7.6% year-on-year) [3] - Electricity output in the US rose by +5.33% year-on-year, which may support gas prices [3] European Context - As of November 18, European gas storage was 81% full, compared to a five-year seasonal average of 90% [4]

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ25) on Wednesday closed up by +0.179 (+4.10%). Dec nat-gas prices rallied sharply on Wednesday as late-November and early December US weather forecasts shifted colder across the eastern half of the country, which could boost nat-gas heating demand.  Forecaster Atmospheric G2 said Wednesday that temperatures shifted colder in the eastern two-thirds of the US later in the November 24-28 period, and forecasts shifted colder in the middle third of the country for November 29-Dec ...

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ25) on Tuesday closed up by +0.010 (+0.23%). Dec nat-gas prices recovered from a 1.5-week low on Tuesday and settled slightly higher after updated weather forecasts turned colder for the central and eastern US toward the end of the November 23-27 period, which could boost heating demand for nat-gas.  Prices initially moved lower on Tuesday after forecaster Atmospheric G2 said that longer-term temperatures for most of the US shifted warmer for the November 28-December 2 perio ...

Core Insights - Natural gas prices in the US increased by 3.70% on Thursday due to colder weather forecasts, which are expected to boost heating demand [1] - US dry gas production reached 107.1 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/day), marking a 3.7% year-over-year increase, while gas demand rose to 79.2 bcf/day, a 12.1% year-over-year increase [2] - The EIA's report indicated that natural gas inventories rose by 74 billion cubic feet (bcf), aligning with market expectations but exceeding the 5-year average [5] Production and Demand - US natural gas production is currently near record highs, with the EIA raising its 2025 production forecast by 0.5% to 107.14 bcf/day [3] - Active natural gas drilling rigs in the US remained stable at 121, just below the 2.25-year high of 124 rigs [6] Electricity Output - US electricity output increased by 1.9% year-over-year to 72,772 gigawatt hours (GWh) for the week ending October 25, contributing positively to gas prices [4] Inventory Levels - As of October 24, natural gas inventories were up 0.5% year-over-year and 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average, indicating sufficient supply [5] - European gas storage was reported to be 83% full, compared to the 5-year average of 92% for this time of year [5]

November Nymex natural gas (NGX25) on Friday closed down -0.040 (-1.20%), adding to Thursday's loss of -3.07%. Nov nat-gas prices on Friday fell to a new 1-week low, extending the sell-off from Wednesday's 2-week high.  Nat-gas prices continued to sell off on Friday due in part to Thursday's bearish weekly EIA inventory report.  The EIA reported on Thursday that nat-gas inventories rose +87 bcf in the week ended October 17, above expectations of +83 bcf and the five-year average of +77 bcf. More News fr ...