Core Insights - Carnival Corporation (CCL) raised its full-year outlook for the third time in 2025 after reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results, with booking volumes significantly outpacing capacity growth [1][8]. Financial Performance - Carnival reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43 on revenue of $8.15 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.32 EPS and $8.11 billion in revenue [9]. - The company anticipates adjusted net income to be nearly 55% higher than in 2024, amounting to $235 million more than its previous guidance in June [9]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be around $7.05 billion, reflecting a 15% increase compared to 2024 and exceeding the June guidance of $6.9 billion [9]. Market Trends - Booking trends have strengthened since May, with higher booking volumes compared to the previous year, significantly outpacing capacity growth [5][4]. - Carnival has nearly half of 2026 booked, aligning with record levels from 2025 but at historically high prices in constant currency for both North America and Europe segments [4]. Revenue Projections - Despite strong bookings, Carnival's projection for passenger revenue fell short of analysts' estimates, with expected net yields rising by 5.3% in 2025, compared to the 5.79% increase anticipated by analysts [3][8]. - Net yields increased by 4.6% year-over-year in the third quarter [5].