A row broke out between the U.S. and Poland after a leading Polish politician refused to join a campaign to lobby for nominations of President Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize https://t.co/MAanHgvIuf ...

Opposition leader María Corina Machado was injured last week while leaving Venezuela to receive her Nobel Peace Prize in Oslo, according to Norwegian news outlet Aftenposten https://t.co/R24asI1QTC ...

Trump’s claims about ending eight wars in his pursuit of a Nobel Peace Prize have never quite added up https://t.co/ryQ4bKVZzm ...

I mean, everybody's just kind of losing their minds in the last couple of years. And it's also just the divisiveness between parties, creating more and more tumultuousness and chaos. >> Do you think Donald Trump is contributing to that divisiveness.>> I would say not. I don't think I don't believe so. >> Donald Trump's found on the other side.>> Exactly. >> He did post that video. Did you see that video.>> He does. He does. He does troll on Twitter and everything, but >> he's got that video where he flies o ...

Group 1 - The odds of Venezuelan politician María Corina Machado winning the Nobel Peace Prize have surged to 70%, a significant increase of 66 percentage points from the previous day [2] - In contrast, the odds for Donald Trump have decreased to 3%, while the probability for Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms stands at 15% [2] - Over $16 million has been wagered on the outcome, with predictions on Kalshi indicating a 67% chance for Machado and a 4% chance for Trump [3] Group 2 - Polymarket, a betting platform based on Polygon, allows users to place bets using the USDC stablecoin, although it is currently unavailable to U.S. residents [4] - Trump's supporters are actively promoting him as "The Peace President," advocating for his nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize following a peace agreement between Israel and Hamas [4][5] - Machado is recognized as a prominent figure in the Venezuelan opposition and a strong critic of the Nicolás Maduro regime [6]

Awards & Recognition - Former President Trump has been nominated for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize [1]

Political Landscape - A campaign is ongoing to nominate President Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, potentially making him the fifth American president to receive this honor [1]

Market Opportunity - Prediction markets offer potential for high returns, exemplified by a 50% return on investment regardless of size [1] - A specific prediction market experienced $24 million in trading volume [1] Geopolitical & Investment Strategy - The industry should closely monitor Trump's Nobel Peace Prize odds within prediction markets [1] - Potential positive relations between Ukraine and Russia, possibly influenced by Trump, could impact investment opportunities [1]

Market Prediction & Geopolitical Risk - Prediction market observers are closely monitoring Trump's Nobel Peace Prize odds, currently at 4% [1] - Positive developments in Ukraine/Russia relations, potentially attributed to Trump's involvement, could significantly increase his chances [1] - Hamas has expressed readiness to immediately engage in negotiations through mediators [1]

Awards & Recognition - Donald Trump believes he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize [1] Political Commentary - Trump is brashly lobbying for the Nobel Peace Prize [1]