A new defence pact could see Saudi Arabia benefit from Pakistan’s nuclear deterrence. How will it affect the region? https://t.co/hjTdWzw9m2Illustraion: Ben Jones https://t.co/G9p7yCRvqj ...

A new defence pact could see Saudi Arabia benefit from Pakistan’s nuclear deterrence. How will it affect the region? https://t.co/AmfP5iECWY ...

Geopolitical Strategy & Nuclear Deterrence - The analysis suggests Trump is signaling to Putin and Medvedev that the US is prepared to engage in nuclear posturing, mirroring Russia's actions in the Ukraine conflict [1][5] - The report indicates the US is reminding Russia of its robust nuclear deterrent, particularly the submarine-based second-strike capability, to discourage escalation [3] - The industry interprets Trump's actions as an attempt to regain control over nuclear rhetoric and push for a ceasefire in Ukraine [5][6] - The analysis suggests Trump's strategy involves applying military and economic pressure on Putin to encourage a more rational approach to the conflict [10] - The report highlights the US is restoring a clear and unambiguous nuclear deterrence strategy reminiscent of the Cold War to counter potential threats [16] Military & Economic Pressure - The report mentions potential secondary sanctions on buyers of Russian energy if a ceasefire in Ukraine is not agreed upon [8] - The analysis suggests the US is considering various forms of military pressure to deter Putin, including the deployment of nuclear-powered submarines [14] - The industry notes Russia's capacity to produce approximately 1500 tanks annually, indicating a significant war machine [15] Risk Assessment & Future Outlook - The report acknowledges Medvedev's statement implying Russia is a more formidable target than Israel or Iran, suggesting a higher threshold for threats [11][12] - The analysis highlights concerns about a potential two-pronged war involving simultaneous conflicts in Taiwan and Europe, prompting the US to reinforce its deterrence [15] - The report suggests Trump is attempting to shut down Putin's nuclear options, considering the limitations of battlefield nukes in Ukraine due to weather patterns and Chinese opposition [17]

Geopolitical Risk - The report highlights the potential expiration of a longstanding nuclear treaty between Russia and America, raising concerns about the future of nuclear deterrence [1] - The analysis focuses on assessing the nuclear threat in the 21st century [1]