Off - Premise Sales

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3 Restaurant Stocks That Keep Soaring Despite Industry Challenges
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 15:31
Industry Overview - The Zacks Retail – Restaurants industry is facing a challenging macroeconomic environment characterized by high costs and declining traffic, but is experiencing sales growth due to menu price hikes and average check growth [1][3] - Industry participants are leveraging partnerships with delivery channels and digital platforms to enhance sales [1] Sales Performance - Restaurant sales showed strong momentum, with U.S. Census Bureau data indicating $98.7 billion in seasonally adjusted sales in June, a 0.6% increase from May's revised total of $98.2 billion [4] Digital Innovation - The focus on digital innovation and partnerships with delivery services like DoorDash and Grubhub is driving incremental sales for restaurant operators [5] Off-Premise Sales - The increase in off-premise sales, including delivery and takeout, is acting as a key catalyst for growth, with many operators testing ghost kitchens and connected curbside services [6] Industry Ranking - The Zacks Restaurant industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 188, placing it in the bottom 23% of over 244 Zacks industries, indicating dull near-term prospects [7][8] Stock Performance - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed the Zacks S&P 500 Composite, growing only 5.7% compared to the S&P 500's 20.3% and the sector's 25.7% [9] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 24.69X, higher than the S&P 500's 22.69X but below the sector's 25.05X [12] Company Highlights - **BJ's Restaurants**: Achieved 2.9% year-over-year comparable sales growth in Q2 2025, driven by a 3.3% increase in traffic, with anticipated sales and earnings growth of 3.2% and 38.8% respectively for 2025 [14][15] - **The Cheesecake Factory**: Benefiting from higher consumer demand and operational efficiency, with expected sales and earnings growth of 5.1% and 9.3% respectively for 2025 [18][19] - **Cracker Barrel**: Focused on menu innovation and digital initiatives, with anticipated sales growth of 0.1% but a decline in earnings of 9.1% for 2025 [22][23]