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Is TJX's 5% Drop Post Q1 Earnings a Caution or Opportunity?
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 16:10
Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) experienced a 5% drop in shares following the release of its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, underperforming compared to the Zacks Retail - Discount Stores industry, which declined 1%, and the broader S&P 500, which increased by 0.2% [1][7]. Financial Performance - TJX reported net sales of $13,111 million for the first quarter, reflecting a 5% year-over-year increase, with consolidated comparable store sales rising by 3% [5][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were 92 cents, a slight decrease from 93 cents in the same quarter last year [5][7]. - The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 outlook, projecting comparable store sales growth of 2% to 3% and EPS between $4.34 and $4.43, indicating a 2% to 4% increase from the previous year's EPS of $4.26 [10][24]. Segment Performance - Comparable store sales growth was reported as follows: 2% at Marmaxx (U.S.), 4% at HomeGoods (U.S.), and 5% at both TJX Canada and TJX International (Europe and Australia) [8][10]. Strategic Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to attract value-conscious shoppers despite macroeconomic challenges, emphasizing the strength of its off-price retail model and broad product assortments [9][11]. - TJX added 36 new stores in the first quarter, bringing the total to 5,121 locations, and is focusing on enhancing its e-commerce capabilities [13]. Valuation and Market Position - TJX is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 27.75X, which is lower than the industry average of 34.17X, making it attractive for value-focused investors [14]. - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating growing market confidence in its growth potential [16]. Challenges and Risks - The company faces rising operating costs due to inflation and wage increases, which may pressure margins [17]. - Tariff-related pressures and foreign exchange fluctuations are anticipated to impact profitability, with management projecting a gross margin decline of 40 basis points year-over-year [18][19]. - Recent downward revisions in earnings estimates reflect cautious sentiment among investors, with the consensus estimate for EPS declining to $1.00 for the current quarter and $4.46 for the fiscal year [20][24].
BURL's Q1 Earnings Top Estimates, Comparable Store Sales Flat Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 19:06
Core Insights - Burlington Stores, Inc. reported first-quarter fiscal 2025 results with year-over-year growth in revenues and earnings, although revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate while earnings exceeded expectations [1][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.60, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.42, and increased by 18.5% from $1.35 in the prior year [3] - Total revenues reached $2,504 million, a 6% increase from the previous year, but below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,534 million [3] - Net sales rose 6.1% to $2,500.1 million, while other revenues decreased by 7.1% to $3.9 million [3] Margins and Costs - Gross margin improved to 43.8%, up 30 basis points from the first quarter of fiscal 2024, exceeding the estimate of 43.5% [4] - Adjusted selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses increased by 4.8% year over year to $669.5 million, with SG&A as a percentage of net sales decreasing by 30 basis points to 26.8% [5] - Product sourcing costs rose to $197 million from $183 million in the prior year [5] EBITDA and EBIT - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 12.6% to $238.1 million, while adjusted EBIT rose by 13.1% to $146.3 million [6] Cash, Debt, and Equity - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $371.1 million and long-term debt of $1.64 billion [7] - Total outstanding debt was $1.65 billion, including $1.24 billion under a term-loan facility and $297 million of convertible notes [8] Share Repurchase - Burlington Stores repurchased 445,285 shares for $105 million during the quarter, with $158 million remaining under its existing share repurchase authorization [9] Guidance - For Q2 fiscal 2025, total sales are expected to grow by 5-7%, with comparable store sales projected to remain flat to up 2% [12] - Adjusted EPS for Q2 is anticipated to be between $1.20 and $1.30, compared to $1.24 in the prior year [13] - For fiscal 2025, total sales are expected to increase by 6-8%, with comparable store sales projected to rise between 0% and 2% [14]