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Stride vs. Strategic Education: Which Education Stock to Bet on Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 16:25
Core Insights - The education market is experiencing a shift towards online education alternatives, particularly for career learning, benefiting companies like Stride, Inc. and Strategic Education, Inc. [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Stride, Inc. focuses on K-12 virtual schooling and career-learning programs primarily in the United States [2] - Strategic Education offers post-secondary education and academic programs, including business administration, IT, and nursing, through both physical campuses and online platforms [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Regulatory Developments - The U.S. Department of Education's formation of the Accreditation, Innovation and Modernization (AIM) committee aims to reform higher education accreditation, promoting high-quality, data-driven programs and reducing bureaucratic barriers [3] - This initiative is expected to enhance workforce skills and increase demand for services from education providers like Stride and Strategic Education [3] Group 3: Stride, Inc. Performance - Stride is benefiting from a sustained shift towards virtual education, with high parental dissatisfaction with traditional K-12 education driving enrollment towards online options [5] - The Career Learning segment has seen enrollments increase by 18.1% year-over-year to 111,100 students, with revenues growing by 20.5% to $547.6 million in the first half of fiscal 2026 [6] - Stride's adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA grew by 23.8% and 21.3% year-over-year, respectively, with a revised full-year revenue guidance indicating confidence in execution [7] - The company has authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $500 million, reflecting management's confidence in long-term value creation [8] Group 4: Strategic Education Performance - Strategic Education's employer-affiliated enrollment reached 32.7% of the U.S. Higher Education segment, up from 29.8% year-over-year, indicating robust growth driven by employer partnerships [11] - The Education Technology Services segment's revenues grew by 46.8% year-over-year, supported by new employer partnerships and increased subscriptions [11] - Innovations like FlexPath and programs such as Workforce Edge and RightSkill are contributing to Strategic Education's growth and aligning with workforce upskilling trends [12][13] Group 5: Financial Metrics and Valuation - Stride's trailing 12-month Return on Equity (ROE) is 26.2%, significantly higher than Strategic Education's average, indicating better efficiency in generating shareholder returns [22] - Stride's earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have improved by 3.7% and 9.2%, respectively, while Strategic Education's estimates have remained unchanged [20][22] - Stride's stock offers a discounted valuation with stronger growth potential, while Strategic Education presents a steadier growth trajectory but at a premium valuation [19][26]
Stride(LRN) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-27 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the second quarter was $631.3 million, an increase of nearly 8% from the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 [10] - Adjusted operating income rose to $159 million, up $23.4 million or 17% year-over-year [10] - Adjusted EPS increased to $2.50, reflecting a 13% growth from the previous year [10] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $188.1 million, up 17% [10] - Gross margin for the quarter was 41.1%, up 30 basis points from last year [12] - Free cash flow was $75.9 million, down from $208.6 million last year due to timing of payments [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total enrollments for the second quarter were 248.5 thousand, up 7.8% year-over-year [11] - Revenue from Career Learning programs grew 29% to $275.6 million, driven by a 17.6% increase in enrollment [11] - General Education revenue declined 3.6% to $341.4 million compared to last year [11] - Average enrollments were slightly up to 137,000, but revenue per enrollment decreased by 3.6% due to mix [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a generally positive state funding environment, although some impacts from state and program mix are anticipated [11] - The company expects to finish the year flattish compared to last year due to these factors [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on stabilizing its platforms and enhancing customer experience, with plans to build proprietary solutions to maintain control over user experience [4][7] - The strategy includes a cautious approach to growth, prioritizing stability over aggressive enrollment increases [5][30] - The company aims to balance investments in organic growth and potential M&A transactions with share repurchases [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the primary issues from the previous fall are behind them, with significant improvements in customer support call volumes and social media sentiment [8] - The company believes it is well-positioned for a return to expected growth patterns next year based on current trends in demand and customer experience [8] - Management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $2.480-$2.555 billion, with adjusted operating income expected between $485-$505 million [15][17] Other Important Information - Capital expenditures for the quarter were $16 million, with full-year expectations unchanged at $70-$80 million [15] - The board authorized a share repurchase of up to $500 million, with $88.6 million already purchased in the second quarter [14][15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on withdrawal trends and enrollment - Management confirmed that withdrawal rates have returned to normal levels, which is positive news [20] Question: Demand characterization - Demand remains strong, with application volumes similar to last year, indicating robust organic demand [22] Question: School and program relations post-issues - Partners expressed frustration but also faith in the company's ability to resolve issues, indicating a shared mission [25] Question: Enrollment growth potential in the third quarter - Management is taking a cautious approach to growth, prioritizing long-term stability over immediate enrollment increases [30] Question: Revenue per enrollment changes - Variations in revenue per enrollment are attributed to state and program mix, with a focus on combined revenue per enrollment for forecasting [38] Question: Gross margin adjustments - A long-term lease exit positively impacted gross margins, with a 200 basis point improvement noted [40]
Could Stride's Free Tutoring Initiative be Its Next Brand Win?
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 17:35
Core Insights - Stride, Inc. (LRN) has rebranded its tutoring services to K12 Tutoring, offering personalized online tutoring to school students since 2022, with a focus on academic gains [1] - The company launched a free one-on-one ELA tutoring program for second and third graders, which has received positive feedback and is showing early signs of improving student engagement and performance [2][4] - Stride's integrated model of K-12 education, tutoring, and career learning provides a competitive edge over rivals like Chegg and Udemy, enhancing retention and satisfaction [3][7] Competitive Landscape - Stride competes with established players such as Chegg, Inc. and Udemy, Inc. in the digital learning space [5] - Chegg focuses on college students with a subscription model, while Udemy offers a marketplace for skills and career-oriented courses [6] - Stride's unique offering of comprehensive educational services under one platform positions it favorably against these competitors [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - LRN shares have decreased by 7% over the past month, underperforming compared to the Zacks Schools industry and the broader market [8] - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 7.19, indicating a discount relative to industry peers [11] - Despite recent downward revisions in earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027, the company is expected to see year-over-year improvements of 2% and 7.8%, respectively [12][15]
American Public Education(APEI) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-06 21:00
Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 2025 was $162.8 million, a 7% year-over-year increase[9] - Net loss available to common stockholders was ($0.3) million in Q2 2025, compared to ($1.2) million in Q2 2024[9] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $15.1 million, compared to $10.9 million in Q2 2024[9] - Cash balance as of June 30, 2025, was $176.6 million[13] Enrollment and Registration - APUS net course registrations increased by 7.3% compared to Q2 2024[14] - Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) enrollment increased by 17.6%[14] - Rasmussen enrollment increased by 10.4% in 3Q'25 compared to 3Q'24[14] - Trailing twelve months (TTM) net course registrations reached 388,400[22] Guidance - Full year 2025 revenue is projected to be between $650 million and $660 million[17] - Full year 2025 net income available to common stockholders is guided to be between $18 million and $24 million[17] - Full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $81 million and $88 million[17] Strategic Initiatives - APEI completed the sale of GSUSA on July 25, 2025[10] - The company is consolidating APUS, Rasmussen, and HCN into one system[20] - APEI redeemed preferred equity in Q2 2025[20]
Stride, Inc. Signs Multi-District Agreements to Operate K12-Powered Online School in New Mexico
Globenewswire· 2025-08-04 20:30
Core Insights - Stride, Inc. has partnered with Chama Valley Independent Schools and Santa Rosa Consolidated Schools to operate the Destinations Career Academy of New Mexico (NMDCA) starting in the fall of 2025, with over 3,000 students already enrolled for the 2025–2026 school year [1][2][3] Company Overview - Stride, Inc. is focused on redefining lifelong learning through innovative education solutions, serving learners in primary, secondary, and postsecondary settings across all 50 states and over 100 countries [4] - NMDCA is an online public school program that combines academic excellence with career-readiness pathways and dual-credit opportunities for K–12 students statewide [5] Partnership Impact - The partnership is seen as a strategic move to expand educational access and innovation in rural communities, creating new opportunities for students and positioning the districts as forward-thinking hubs for learning [2][3] - The collaboration aims to meet the evolving needs of students by providing high-quality virtual education options [2][3] Enrollment Information - Enrollment for the 2025–2026 school year is currently open, with families encouraged to learn more and begin the application process through the NMDCA website [3]
Stride Stock Tumbles 9% in Past Month: Should You Buy the Dip or Wait?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 16:51
Core Viewpoint - Stride, Inc. is facing challenges due to the termination of a key partnership with Gallup-McKinley County Schools, which is expected to impact its market value and revenue visibility, despite experiencing significant enrollment growth in its K-12 and career learning segments [3][7][15]. Company Performance - Stride's share price has decreased by 9.4% over the past month, underperforming compared to the Zacks Schools industry and the broader market [1]. - The company has reported a 20% overall enrollment growth in fiscal 2025, with General Education and Career Learning segments growing by 12.8% and 32%, respectively [15]. Partnership and Regulatory Challenges - The termination of the partnership with GMCS, effective June 30, 2025, was due to Stride's failure to meet legal and academic requirements, which poses risks to its growth and profitability [6][7]. - Stride's business model heavily relies on contracts with educational institutions, making it vulnerable to compliance issues that could lead to contract terminations [6]. Market and Economic Conditions - Stride is experiencing macroeconomic pressures, including inflation and tariff concerns, which could indirectly affect its top-line growth through strained government budgets [9]. - The company is facing increased operational costs, with instructional costs and SG&A expenses rising by 12.5% and 0.6% year-over-year, respectively [9]. Financial Position - Stride maintains a strong liquidity position with cash and cash equivalents of $528.5 million, up from $500.6 million at the end of fiscal 2024, while long-term debt has slightly increased to $415.9 million [18]. - The stock is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 16.98, indicating a premium compared to industry peers, which reflects its growth potential [10]. Growth Prospects - The shift in demand towards tech-based and career-focused educational programs is expected to enhance Stride's revenue visibility and profitability in the long term [5][21]. - The company is strategically expanding its online education offerings, which aligns with the growing trend of digital learning [12][16].
Stride's Earnings Estimates Trending Up: Is It Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 14:45
Core Insights - Stride, Inc.'s earnings estimates for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 have increased by 6.3% to $7.09 per share and 6.2% to $7.76 per share, respectively, indicating year-over-year growth of 51.2% and 9.4% [1][7] - Analysts are optimistic about Stride's revenue visibility and profitability due to a shift in demand towards tech-based and career-focused educational programs [2][19] - Stride's stock has risen 39.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Schools industry, Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector, and the S&P 500 index [3][4] Financial Performance - Stride's revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 has been raised to between $2.37 billion and $2.385 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of up to 16.9% [7][12] - Enrollment growth across key segments has increased by 20% year-over-year, with General Education and Career Learning segments growing by 12.8% and 32%, respectively [10][19] - The company expects fiscal 2028 revenues to range from $2.70 billion to $3.30 billion, indicating a 10% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from fiscal 2023 [12] Market Positioning - Stride offers a diverse range of educational programs, including K-12 and career learning, which aligns with the increasing demand for skill-based education [9][10] - The online education sector is expanding, benefiting Stride's offerings in full-time online K-12 programs and career education [11][19] - Stride's stock is trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.73X, reflecting strong market potential [16] Liquidity and Capital Management - Stride maintains a stable cash position with cash and cash equivalents at $528.5 million, up from $500.6 million at the end of fiscal 2024 [13] - The company follows a balanced capital allocation strategy, focusing on organic growth, product development, and strategic acquisitions [14] Analyst Sentiment - The upward revision of earnings estimates reflects a positive outlook for Stride, with four out of five analysts recommending a "Strong Buy" [20][23]
American Public Education(APEI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-12 20:52
Financial Performance - Q1 2025 - Revenue reached $164.6 million, a 7% year-over-year increase[9] - Net income available to common stockholders was $7.5 million, compared to a loss of $1.0 million in 1Q24[9] - Adjusted EBITDA was $21.2 million, a 25% year-over-year increase[12] - Cash position as of March 31, 2025, was $187.5 million, a 22% year-over-year increase[13] - Diluted EPS was $0.41, compared to ($0.06) in 1Q24[9] Business Highlights - Q1 2025 - APUS increased net course registrations by 3.5% compared to 1Q24[13] - Rasmussen increased enrollment by 7% in 1Q25, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year enrollment growth[13] - Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) increased enrollment by 9.6%[13] Financial Guidance - 2025 - Full year 2025 revenue is expected to be between $650 million and $660 million[16] - Full year 2025 net income available to common stockholders is projected to be between $23 million and $30 million[16] - Full year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA is guided to be between $77 million and $87 million[16]
51Talk Online Education Group to Present at the dbVIC - Deutsche Bank ADR Virtual Investor Conference May 15th
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-05-12 16:44
Company Overview - 51Talk Online Education Group is a global online education platform specializing in English education, aiming to make quality education accessible and affordable [4] - The company utilizes online and mobile platforms to provide live interactive English lessons, connecting students with qualified teachers through a shared economy approach [4] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter of 2024, gross billings reached US$21.4 million, reflecting a 93.4% growth compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 [7] - Net revenues for the same period were US$16.2 million, marking a 117.3% increase from US$7.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2023 [7] - The number of active students who attended lessons was approximately 74,200, representing an 83.2% increase from about 40,500 in the fourth quarter of 2023 [7] Investor Engagement - David Chung, Vice President of Investor Relations, will present at the dbVIC - Deutsche Bank ADR Virtual Investor Conference on May 15, 2025, aimed at introducing global companies with ADR programs to investors [1] - The conference will be a live, interactive online event allowing real-time questions from investors, with an archived webcast available for those unable to attend live [2]
QuantaSing(QSG) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-03-11 14:22
Financial Performance (Q2 FY25) - Revenues were RMB 726.6 million, a decrease of 25.9% year-over-year[20] - Adjusted net income was RMB 132.0 million, an increase of 27.1% year-over-year[20] - Gross billings of individual online learning services were RMB 546.2 million, a decrease of 42.2% year-over-year[20] - Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short-term investments totaled RMB 1,213.2 million, an increase of 15.5% year-over-year[20] User Metrics - Total registered users reached 139.6 million, a 24.2% year-over-year increase[20, 39] - Paying learners were 0.3 million, a decrease of 31.3% year-over-year[21, 22] Market Opportunity - The adult learning market is projected to have a CAGR of 12.6% from 2022 to 2027[7, 9] - The adult personal interest learning market is projected to have a CAGR of 14.1% from 2022 to 2027[7, 10] Strategic Initiatives - The company is building a new business ecosystem to broaden revenue streams and improve profitability, including live e-commerce and private label products[14, 15]