Workflow
Operating Leverage Inflection
icon
Search documents
The Case For Palantir Stock's Next Rally
Forbes· 2026-01-23 16:15
Core Insights - Palantir Technologies has experienced significant stock price increases, with gains exceeding 50% in less than two months during notable years like 2020 and 2024, and over 30% increases on multiple occasions in 2023 and 2024, indicating potential for future growth [1][3] Catalysts - **Catalyst 1: AIP-Driven Commercial Acceleration** The company is expected to see commercial acceleration driven by its AIP initiatives, which may enhance revenue growth [4] - **Catalyst 2: Operating Leverage Inflection** Palantir is projected to achieve increased operating leverage, with GAAP operating margins expected to exceed 30%, contributing to substantial recurring net income [5][10] - **Catalyst 3: Modular Platform Unlocking New Government TAM** The launch of a modular TITAN platform is anticipated to speed up deal cycles in the government sector, maintaining revenue growth above 50% year-over-year [6][10] Financial Performance - Revenue growth for Palantir is reported at 47.2% for the last twelve months (LTM) and 29.3% over the last three-year average, indicating strong financial performance [11] - The company has a free cash flow margin of nearly 46.0% and an operating margin of 21.8% LTM, showcasing effective cash generation [11] - Palantir shares are currently trading at a P/E multiple of 358.8, reflecting high market expectations [11] Future Projections - The U.S. commercial revenue run-rate is projected to exceed $1.5 billion, with a remaining deal value of $3.63 billion, which is up 199% year-over-year and 30% quarter-over-quarter over Q3 2025 [10]