Orbital Economy
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Redwire Corporation (RDW): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-03 02:51
Core Thesis - Redwire Corporation is viewed positively as a potential investment opportunity, trading at $12.81 as of January 29th, with a market cap of approximately $1 billion, indicating it is undervalued relative to its strategic assets [1][3]. Company Overview - Redwire Corporation provides essential space solutions and infrastructure for both government and commercial clients across the U.S., Europe, and globally, positioning itself as a diversified player in the growing orbital economy [3]. - The company has evolved from a conglomerate of acquisitions into a unified prime contractor, delivering mission-critical technologies for low-Earth orbit, national security, and the Artemis lunar program [4]. Investment Case - The investment thesis is divided into two scenarios: a base-case normalization scenario and a high-conviction bull case. The base case anticipates stabilization in government contracting cycles and a potential EBITDA inflection by 2026, supporting a valuation range of $22–24 as governance penalties diminish [5]. - The bull case suggests that Redwire will be pivotal in enabling space-based computing, driven by terrestrial power constraints, with proprietary technologies like ROSA solar arrays and ZBLAN optical fiber serving as key components for orbital data center developments, potentially leading to a 10x rerating catalyst [6]. Market Dynamics - The company benefits from a durable backlog visibility due to defense-driven drone procurement, DARPA's VLEO programs, and NASA's Artemis spending, while Edge Autonomy contributes to near-term cash flow [7]. - Despite challenges such as potential dilution, cash burn, and governance issues, the combination of strategic positioning, technological advantages, and multiple catalysts offers significant upside for investors willing to manage volatility [7].
Satellite Infrastructure Stocks Surge as Orbital Economy Expands Beyond SpaceX's Shadow
247Wallst· 2026-01-28 10:55
Core Insights - There is a high demand for exposure to SpaceX, but direct investment opportunities are limited due to its private status [1] Group 1: Company Overview - SpaceX is a private aerospace manufacturer and space transportation company founded by Elon Musk, known for its ambitious projects and innovations in space technology [1] - The company has achieved significant milestones, including the successful launch and landing of reusable rockets, which has revolutionized the space industry [1] Group 2: Investment Landscape - Investors are eager to gain exposure to SpaceX, but the lack of public trading options restricts direct investment [1] - The company's valuation has soared, with estimates reaching around $137 billion, reflecting its strong market position and growth potential [1]
Space Stock Boom: Why Retail and Wall Street Are Aligning
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 18:36
Rocket Lab logo billboard beside a rocket on a coastal launchpad at sunrise, highlighting the space tech boom. Key Points Retail enthusiasm and Wall Street research are converging around space technology stocks in 2026. Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile sit at the center of the momentum, but each carries very different risk. For broader exposure with less single-event volatility, a space-focused ETF can offer a more balanced approach. Interested in Procure Space ETF? Here are five stocks we like better. ...
Space and defense boom lifted these satellite stocks by more than 200% in 2025
CNBC· 2025-12-31 12:00
Core Insights - The article highlights the growing interest and investment in the space industry, particularly in defense companies benefiting from military reindustrialization and space exploration initiatives [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Defense companies have seen significant market gains due to renewed interest in space exploration, with President Trump's military expansion plan including a $175 billion project [2]. - High-profile private companies like SpaceX and Anduril are capitalizing on the space and defense boom, with SpaceX planning to go public next year [3]. - Satellite companies, including legacy providers like EchoStar and newer entrants like Planet Labs, have experienced stock surges, with some stocks tripling in value this year [4]. Group 2: Company Performance - Planet Labs' stock has surged nearly 400% this year, driven by demand for satellite imagery and analytics, leading to a valuation of $6.2 billion [5][6]. - EchoStar's shares have increased by 377% this year, with a market capitalization surpassing $31 billion, following significant spectrum deals [12][14]. - ViaSat shares have jumped 315% in 2025, bolstered by new contracts and the successful launch of its ViaSAT-3 satellites [16][17]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Contracts - Planet Labs has secured new government contracts, including a $13.5 million task order with NASA and partnerships with NATO and the European Space Agency [7]. - EchoStar's spectrum deals with AT&T and SpaceX are aimed at enhancing connectivity and expanding its business portfolio [12][13]. - ViaSat has expanded partnerships with commercial airlines and secured a satellite contract with the U.S. Space Force, with a launch planned for 2028 [18].
X @Elon Musk
Elon Musk· 2025-11-04 23:53
Space Exploration & Leadership - Jared Isaacman expresses gratitude to President @POTUS and @SecDuffy for the opportunity to serve the country under their leadership [1] - Isaacman acknowledges the overwhelming support from the space-loving community and commits to meeting expectations [1] - The speaker believes these are the most exciting times since the dawn of the space age, anticipating the realization of a long-awaited future [2] - NASA, along with commercial and international partners, has a significant responsibility to inspire the world to achieve ambitious goals in space [3] - The speaker emphasizes the importance of undertaking bold endeavors in space to improve life on Earth and challenge future generations [3] - The speaker envisions NASA as a history-maker, not just a caretaker of history [3] Vision & Inspiration - The speaker addresses innovators, scientists, and dreamers, highlighting the return to the Moon and journeys beyond [2] - The speaker calls for inspiring the world to achieve the near-impossible in space [3] - The speaker expresses hope that America will lead the greatest adventure in human history [4]