Overconfidence bias
Search documents
Here’s Why Investors Don’t Need To Beat the Market To Be Rich, According to Humphrey Yang
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 15:58
If besting the market was impossible, the market wouldn’t be flooded with investors trying every trick in the book to beat it. Active trading creates the market, but outperforming it with any consistency is extremely difficult. Former advisor-turned-“fin-fluencer” Humphrey Yang would agree with the above. But for Yang, taking on the stock market is a pointless battle for people who want to get rich. The popular social media magnate, who has 1.83 million YouTube subscribers and 3.4 million TikTok followers ...
When Bull Markets Make You Feel Invincible: Why Discipline Wins
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-08 21:29
Core Insights - Behavioral finance highlights the impact of recency bias and overconfidence on investor behavior, leading to increased risk-taking during bull markets [1][2][4] - The market punishes overconfidence and rewards disciplined investment strategies focused on risk management rather than chasing returns [3][14] - Historical examples illustrate the dangers of overconfidence, where investors often face significant losses after periods of rapid gains [5][6][15] Group 1: Investor Behavior - Investors often mistake market success for personal skill, leading to an "invincible phase" where caution is abandoned [2][4] - The psychological trap of a bull run can result in poor decision-making as investors feel that risk is behind them [4][11] - Overconfidence can lead to a deterioration of risk-adjusted returns as investors reach for higher-risk investments [5][12] Group 2: Risk Management - Effective investment discipline involves focusing on risk before reward, emphasizing capital preservation alongside growth [3][8] - Position sizing and predefined exits are crucial to managing risk and avoiding significant losses [9][10] - Investors are advised to review their exposures and consider reducing leverage during high-risk periods [12][13] Group 3: Market Cycles - Market cycles reward patience and discipline while punishing euphoria and overconfidence [14][15] - The current market environment, characterized by a strong bull run, necessitates a cautious approach to avoid potential pitfalls [11][12] - Investors should focus on undervalued opportunities with specific catalysts rather than chasing high-flying stocks [13]