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Hims & Hers Plunges 29.1% in 6 Months: Time to Hold the Stock or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 17:25
Core Insights - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS) has faced short-term stock losses, with a decline of 29.1% over the past six months, significantly underperforming the industry and broader market indices [1][7] - Recent developments include the acquisition of Canadian digital health platform Livewell and the announcement of third-quarter 2025 results, which showed revenue growth but disappointing bottom-line performance [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, HIMS reported strong revenue growth and an increase in subscribers, but margins contracted, leading to disappointing earnings results [3][10] - For Q4 2025, HIMS expects revenues between $605 million and $625 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 26%-30%, and full-year revenues projected at $2.335 billion to $2.355 billion, representing growth of 58%-59% from 2024 levels [8] Market Position - HIMS has underperformed compared to peers like Teladoc Health, which gained 2.2%, while GoodRx Holdings lost 40.1% in the same timeframe [7] - HIMS' forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 3.3X, lower than the industry average of 5X but higher than its three-year median of 2.6X [18] Regulatory and Operational Challenges - HIMS faces regulatory scrutiny regarding compounded GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, which may limit future supply and pressure margins [10][11] - The company is also contending with evolving telehealth regulations that could increase compliance costs and operational adjustments [12] - Integration risks from recent acquisitions and the entry into the Canadian market add to operational uncertainties [15] Strategic Growth Drivers - HIMS aims to scale its personalized digital-care platform, focusing on obesity care as a key growth area, while also expanding into new U.S. categories like low testosterone and menopause [16] - International expansion through acquisitions, such as ZAVA and Livewell, is expected to enlarge HIMS' addressable market and diversify growth beyond the U.S. [17] Earnings Estimates - Estimates for HIMS' 2025 earnings per share (EPS) have decreased by 20% to 48 cents over the past 60 days [21] - The consensus estimate for Q4 2025 EPS is currently pegged at 4 cents, with full-year EPS at 48 cents [8][21] Investment Outlook - Despite core business strengths and growth opportunities, near-term headwinds related to the weight-loss business and regulatory scrutiny suggest caution for investors [24][25] - The valuation indicates potential for growth if HIMS can align more closely with overall market performance, supported by a favorable growth score [26]