Core Insights - The U.S. business investment boom is intensifying, with non-defense capital goods shipments up 9.9% at an annual rate over the past three months, nearly double the twelve-month rate [2] - New orders for non-defense capital goods have increased by 8.5% over the past three months, compared to a 5.5% increase over the past year [2] - The surge in capital expenditures (capex) is attributed to tax policies implemented by the Trump administration, which allow for immediate expensing of investments [3] - GDP growth has been robust, with annual rates of 3.8% in Q2, 4.4% in Q3, and potentially 5% in Q4, indicating a strong economic environment [4] - Business-to-business spending is a significant driver of economic growth, as it supports job creation and wage payments [5] Investment and Productivity - Increased business investment is contributing to a productivity boom, with corporate profits and margins at record levels, enabling businesses to hire more and pay higher wages [6] - Rising take-home pay, approximately 4%, is outpacing core inflation measures, providing an economic benefit of about $2,000 for an average family [7] Economic Policy and Outlook - The current economic environment is characterized by low taxes, deregulation, and rising productivity, which are fostering a manufacturing boom and lowering prices [9] - The new Federal Reserve chair should align with the principles of Trumponomics, which emphasize that economic growth does not inherently lead to inflation [9] - Concerns are raised about potential candidates for the Federal Reserve who may not align with these economic principles, suggesting a preference for candidates who understand supply-side economics [10][11]