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Small-Cap ETFs Draw Fresh Interest Amid Rate Cuts
Etftrends· 2026-01-23 18:31
Core Insights - Small-cap ETFs are experiencing renewed investor interest after a period of outflows, indicating potential investment opportunities ahead [1][2] - The shift in investor sentiment is attributed to favorable monetary and fiscal conditions for smaller companies, with historical data showing small-caps outperform large-caps by 6% in the year following Federal Reserve rate cuts [3] - Valuation metrics indicate that small-caps are trading at a 12% discount to their pre-pandemic five-year average and are 36% below large-caps on a relative basis, suggesting a buying opportunity [4] Investment Themes - Active ETFs have seen significant growth, collecting a record $580 billion in 2025, while active mutual funds faced $640 billion in outflows [5] - Over the past decade, active ETFs have gained $1.2 trillion in assets, contrasting with active mutual funds that lost nearly $4 trillion [5] - In 2025, 47% of active fixed income managers outperformed their benchmarks, compared to only 32% of active equity managers, highlighting the stronger performance of fixed income [6] Diversification Trends - The case for diversification has strengthened, as multiple asset classes delivered positive returns in 2025, marking the first time since 2019 that stocks, bonds, and commodities all outperformed cash [7] - A notable 76% of countries in the MSCI ACWI index outperformed the U.S., the highest percentage since 2009, indicating a shift in global investment dynamics [7] - The SPDR Bridgewater All Weather ETF (ALLW) is highlighted as a diversification option, with significant trading volume exceeding $10 million in 12 of the last 13 days [8]