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Baker Hughes(BKR) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-26 15:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 totaled $1.34 billion, contributing to a record full-year adjusted EBITDA of $4.83 billion, reflecting sustained momentum from the business system and positive performance in Industrial and Energy Technology (IET) [4][30] - Adjusted earnings per share rose to $0.78, resulting in a full-year adjusted EPS of $2.60, a 10% increase from 2024 [4][30] - Adjusted EBITDA margins for Q4 rose 30 basis points year-over-year to a record 18.1% [4][30] - Free cash flow for Q4 was $1.3 billion, contributing to a record annual free cash flow of $2.7 billion, representing a conversion rate of 57% [7][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - IET achieved record order bookings of $4 billion in Q4, contributing to a full-year total of $14.9 billion, exceeding guidance [6][34] - IET margins increased by 160 basis points to 20% in Q4, while full-year margins rose 170 basis points to a historical high of 18.5% [4][35] - OFSE revenue declined by 8% to $14.3 billion for the full year, with EBITDA of $2.62 billion resulting in resilient margins of 18.3% [37] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - LNG demand increased by approximately 7% in 2025, with expectations of at least 75% growth by 2040, primarily driven by growth across Asia [15][16] - The global macro environment remains resilient, with modestly stronger year-over-year GDP growth anticipated in 2026 [14][13] - Data center power demand is projected to increase at a 12% compounded annual growth rate through 2040, driven by AI workloads [20][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its power systems portfolio to capture growing demand, particularly in data centers and renewable energy [3][19] - Baker Hughes aims to achieve a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1-1.5 times within 24 months following the closing of the Chart acquisition [32] - The company is targeting $40+ billion in IET orders over the next three years, reflecting confidence in market dynamics and growth opportunities [47][41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the long-term growth cycle in global power demand, driven by digitization, electrification, and the transition to lower carbon energy solutions [46][14] - The company anticipates organic adjusted EBITDA growth in the mid-single-digit range for 2026, supported by strong order visibility and productivity improvements [46][41] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach to cost optimization and portfolio management to enhance long-term value creation [33][45] Other Important Information - The company secured a large slot reservation agreement for approximately 1 gigawatt of NovaLT capacity to support data center applications, expected to convert into a firm order in 2026 [9] - The pending acquisition of Chart is expected to enhance the power generation portfolio and deliver integrated tri-generation solutions [28][48] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on your strategy for further enhancing your current capabilities or sustaining growth from Power Systems? - Management emphasized the belief in a global power demand growth cycle, with significant opportunities in data centers and digital infrastructure, projecting a market opportunity of $100 billion annually for Power Systems by 2030 [51][52][53] Question: Can you walk through some of the moving pieces within the $14.5 billion IET order intake guide for 2026? - Management indicated that the order outlook reflects strength across the IET portfolio, with robust pipelines in power systems and continued growth in gas infrastructure and new energy solutions [61][62][63] Question: Can you discuss the margin outlook for IET and OFSE? - Management expects IET margins to reach 20% in 2026, driven by higher-margin backlog conversion and productivity improvements, while OFSE margins are projected to remain resilient despite macro headwinds [70][71][68]