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WMB Analyst Day: Power & Pipe to Drive Robust Growth
Etftrends· 2026-02-17 12:33
Core Insights - Williams (WMB) is projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% for adjusted EBITDA through 2030, driven by power and transmission projects [1] - The company has a significant backlog of opportunities, with $15 billion in potential growth capital and a robust pipeline of projects [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Growth Outlook - WMB has raised its long-term adjusted EBITDA growth target from 5-7% to over 10% CAGR for 2025-2030, following a 9% CAGR from 2020 to 2025 [1] - The company expects U.S. natural gas demand to grow by 39 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) by 2035, with 20 Bcf/d attributed to LNG exports and 10 Bcf/d for power generation [1] - For 2026, WMB has provided an adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $8.05–$8.25 billion, indicating a 6% growth relative to 2025 at the midpoint [1] Group 2: Power Projects - WMB has announced a new 340-megawatt natural gas power project in Ohio, with a 10-year agreement expected to be operational in the second half of 2028 [1] - The company has a backlog of power opportunities that is three times the combined gigawatts of its four sanctioned projects, totaling 6 gigawatts [1] - WMB is investing over $7 billion in its power projects, which are expected to yield a 20% return based on a 5x multiple [1] Group 3: Transmission Projects - WMB currently has 13 transmission projects underway, representing 7.1 Bcf/d of capacity, and is on track to increase delivery capacity by over 20% from 2025 to 2030 [1] - The transmission backlog has grown by over 5 Bcf/d in the past year, translating to more than $3 billion in capital expenditure [1] - WMB's transmission segment, particularly the Transco pipeline, is a key asset, transporting approximately 15% of the nation's natural gas [1]