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中国电力行业:10 月电力需求全面加速-China – Power-October Broad-based Acceleration in Power Demand
2025-11-26 14:15
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Power** industry, highlighting significant trends in power consumption and generation in the country [1][2]. Key Insights on Power Consumption - **National power consumption** increased by **5.1% YoY** in the first ten months of 2025, up from **4.6%** in the previous months [3][9]. - In **October 2025**, power demand surged by **10.4% YoY**, with notable increases in various sectors: - **Primary sector**: +13.2% YoY - **Secondary sector**: +6.2% YoY - **Tertiary sector**: +17.1% YoY - **Residential demand**: +23.9% YoY [3][9]. Sector-Specific Growth Drivers - The **tertiary sector** growth was primarily driven by: - **Retail services**: +24.4% YoY - **IT services**: +21.0% YoY - The **accommodation and catering** sector also saw an increase of **18.4% YoY**, attributed to the strong National Day holiday [4][9]. - **Residential power consumption** growth was influenced by temperature variations, with regions like Jiangxi, Zhejiang, and Shanghai experiencing significant increases of **66%**, **63%**, and **47%** YoY, respectively [4]. Power Generation Insights - Total power generation in **10M25** rose by **2.3% YoY** to **8,063 billion kWh**. - Renewable energy sources showed strong growth: - **Solar power generation**: +23.2% YoY - **Wind power generation**: +7.6% YoY - The share of wind and solar in the energy mix increased to **16%**, up from **14%** in the same period last year [5][9]. Capacity Expansion - China added **398 GW** of power capacity in **10M25**, marking a **42.4% YoY** increase, including: - **253 GW** from solar (up **39.5% YoY**) - **70 GW** from wind (up **52.9% YoY**) - **65 GW** from thermal sources (up **54.3% YoY**) [5][9]. Investment Trends - Investments in power generation capacity reached **Rmb722 billion**, a **0.7% YoY** increase, while investments in the power grid rose to **Rmb482 billion**, up **7.2% YoY** [9]. Analyst Ratings and Industry Outlook - The overall view of the **China Utilities** sector is considered **attractive**, with several companies rated positively, including: - **China Resources Power**: Overweight - **China Longyuan Power Group**: Overweight - **Huaneng Power International Inc.**: Equal-weight [7][59]. Additional Considerations - The report emphasizes the potential for continued growth in the renewable energy sector, driven by government policies and increasing demand for cleaner energy sources [7][9]. - Analysts caution that while the growth is promising, investors should remain aware of potential risks associated with market fluctuations and regulatory changes [7][9].