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lululemon Stock Dips 19.8% Post Q1 Earnings: Time to Buy or Stay Put?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-09 17:20
Core Viewpoint - Lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) experienced a significant stock decline of 19.8% following its first-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings report, despite surpassing revenue and EPS estimates. The decline is attributed to investor concerns regarding the company's updated outlook, particularly the impact of rising import tariffs on gross margins in the latter half of the year [1][10][13]. Financial Performance - Lululemon's management revised its full-year gross margin outlook downward, now expecting a decline of 110 basis points year over year, which is nearly double the previously forecasted 60 basis points drop [6]. - The second-quarter guidance indicates a steep 380-basis point drop in operating margin, signaling potential near-term profitability challenges [6][10]. - SG&A expenses rose by 11.9% year over year, outpacing revenue growth and leading to margin deleverage, with an anticipated 50-basis point SG&A deleverage for the full year [7]. Market Dynamics - There is a noted decline in comparable sales in North America, particularly in the U.S., where store traffic has decreased compared to the previous quarter. Although average transaction values increased, overall sales volume has been negatively impacted [8]. - Elevated inventory levels are concerning, with inventory up 17% year over year while revenues only increased by 7%. This situation raises the risk of markdown pressure if demand remains weak [9]. Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term challenges, Lululemon is positioned for long-term growth, supported by a strong global brand and an innovation-led product strategy. The company is expanding its international presence, particularly in markets like China and EMEA, where sales are growing at double-digit rates [11][12]. - Lululemon maintains a healthy balance sheet with $1.3 billion in cash and no debt, allowing for continued investment in innovation and supply chain improvements [12]. - The company's long-term strategy, including the Power of Three x2 growth plan, remains focused on sustained growth in men's, digital, and international channels [12][14].