Predictable Cash Flows
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Why Warren Buffett Avoids Tech Stocks — And When He Makes Exceptions
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-29 13:52
Group 1 - Warren Buffett's investment philosophy is centered around the principle of "Buy what you know," leading to his historical avoidance of technology stocks due to a lack of understanding [1][2] - Buffett's avoidance of tech was driven by a desire for predictability in business models, focusing on companies with durable competitive advantages and predictable cash flows [2][4] - Early tech companies lacked the stable characteristics Buffett preferred, as they faced rapid competition and frequent disruptions, making long-term earnings projections unreliable [3][4] Group 2 - Buffett's first significant investment in technology was in IBM in 2011, which he believed had a predictable business model due to its enterprise relationships [5][6] - The investment in IBM ultimately underperformed expectations, serving as a reminder that even established tech companies can encounter unpredictable competitive pressures [6] - Buffett's investment in Apple marked a pivotal change in his perspective on technology, indicating a shift in his investment strategy [7][8]
ENB vs. KMI: Predictable Cash Flows or LNG-Driven Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 15:26
Core Insights - Enbridge Inc. (ENB) and Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) are leading midstream energy companies with stable business models and lower exposure to commodity price volatility [1] - Over the past year, Enbridge's stock price increased by 29.3%, while Kinder Morgan's stock price surged by 33.9% [1] Enbridge Inc. (ENB) - Enbridge generates 98% of its EBITDA from midstream assets backed by long-term take-or-pay contracts or regulated returns, ensuring stable cash flows [5][6] - The company's predictable cash flow model allows it to invest in growth capital projects at favorable terms, which will generate additional cash flows [7] - Enbridge has a secured capital program of C$32 billion, focusing on liquid pipelines, gas transmission, renewables, and gas distribution & storage, likely leading to incremental cash flows [10] - The current dividend yield for Enbridge is 5.53%, and it plans to return between $40 billion to $45 billion to shareholders over the next five years [10] Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) - Kinder Morgan generates stable fee-based revenues from its 66,000-mile natural gas pipeline network, which is crucial for transporting LNG feed-gas volumes [9] - The company cut its dividend payments by approximately 75% in January 2016, indicating a less stable business model compared to Enbridge [11] - KMI's growth is tied to LNG demand, which could drive future growth despite its past dividend cuts [11] Valuation Comparison - Enbridge trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 15.74X, while Kinder Morgan trades at 14.16X, indicating that investors are willing to pay a premium for Enbridge due to its predictable business model and consistent shareholder rewards [12]